Climate Models Got It Right on Global Warming

[pixy0stix]

www.scientificamerican.com/article/climate-models-got-it-right-on-global-warming/


Most of these models are long since obsolete, replaced by far more advanced generations. And yet, most of them were spot on in their projections of how much the Earth would warm in the years after they were published in response to greenhouse gas emissions. Fourteen out of 17 models were found to be accurate.



The new study highlights a critically important, but sometimes overlooked, point about the way climate models work. The amount of warming they predict is a direct consequence of the greenhouse gas emissions they assume for the future. And accurately predicting carbon emissions is notoriously difficult—it depends on many human factors, including population growth, economic shifts and changes in the energy landscape.

[pixy0stix]

I sent this to the guy who I have a long/ongoing argument with that is just positive that scientists are manipulating the models to show what they want, instead of what will actually happen.

[aspentosh]

Interesting article. I hope it shuts people up. (Setting myself up for failure here.)

And to this day, it is infuriating that people seem to think scientists don't know WTF they are talking about. I don't show up at my H's job and assume I can engineer with the best of them. I don't shit on your jobs, so stop shitting on mine. (Not a climate scientist, but still.)