MI14. Not competitive at all. Solidly D. I don't even know who is running against Brenda Lawrence.
Looking at the map, I would NEVER guess that would be a solidly D district. Your district looks even more gerrymandered than mine.
This is the first time I've logged in in a while. Yes, MI 14 even made it into Gerrymandered Jewelry gerrymanderjewelry.com/shoponline
It includes Pontiac, Southfield, Oak Park, sections of Detroit, along with parts of West Bloomfield, Farmington Hills, some of the Grosse Points (but maybe not all) and then into Detroit. I don't know which was more gerrymandered (MI 9, 11 or 14) but as a result, 14 seems to be the least continuous or congruous. The Republicans still ended up with 14 a solid D, 9 a consistent D and 11 a toss-up. I'm not sure how it benefitted Republicans. If they had left Troy and Birmingham in 9, then 9 might be more competitive for Rs.
Post by pinkdutchtulips on Oct 26, 2020 17:38:58 GMT -5
Mine isn’t competitive at all CA-11. Incumbent Dem will hold onto the seat. He’s a decent guy who I’ve known for nearly 30 years dating back to when he was a city council member and I was calling his house regularly bc his boys were awful at returning rented video games ... yes I worked at a Blockbuster Video.
I anticipate Paul Tonko (D) will win reelection in NY-20 pretty easily. His challenger, Liz Joy (R), is one of the very few Republicans I see signs out for this year, but this district is pretty solidly blue.
TX-30, my rep is has been in office for like 30 years. She is in her 80's so I hope she retires soon, but otherwise I like her. Former nurse. Chair of the science committee.
I’m worried about Lauren Underwood. She’s in the district next to ours and apparently it’s a tossup.
I thought Lauren was solid I'm in the 6th, it's supposed to be solid blue and it better be considering it's a Scientist vs a crazy Trumper. If I get Ives back as a rep I will cry. She was awful as a state rep.
I’m also IL-6 and it sounds like Casten should win again. Ives is insane and I’m so over her rants. Really hoping Lauren Underwood pulls it out again!
Neighboring district where I used to live and where ILs currently live is more interesting. NY-1, Lee Zeldin is the incumbent and an awful Trump sycophant. Challenger is Dr. Nancy Goroff, former chair of the chemistry department at Stony Brook University. She's worked on green energy for like 30 years. It's a dead heat and I've done some postcards, texting, and donated a bunch. I'm dying for her to win.
Friends at Stony Brook rave about her. I've been texting for her too.
I'm in a very safe Dem district, so much so that part of me is debating voting for the independent challenger "NJ Weedman" (legalizing weed is on the ballot in NJ). I won't, but I do think it's funny.
Lol, I'm in the same district. I'm pretty sure H voted for him once. It's weird seeing NJ Weedman written out on the ballot.
NY-26, not competitive at all. It's a very blue district so the incumbent Brian Higgins should win easily. I haven't seen anything from his opponent
Close by is the very gerrymandered NY27, formerly held by Trump sycophant, Chris Collins. He was arrested for insider trading and still somehow got reelected in 2018, but then eventually resigned in 2019.
The R person that replaced him won a special election during the summer and is running against the same person this time. I'm sure he will win again unfortunately
I can't believe McMurray isn't doing better. And/or that they put McMurray up again after he lost to a criminal in 2018.
NY-22, one of the closest races in 2018, won by democrat Anthony Brindisi. Super moderate, but that's what we get here (district has often been R). He's running against the same Trumpy asshole, Claudia Tenney, who he beat in 2018. She was a one-term incumbent at that point, elected in 2016. Brindisi is up in the polls.
I keep getting all these obnoxious mailers about how Brindisi is lockstep with Pelosi or AOC (which, guys, not the same thing at all?), and I'm just like, well, that's not true, but I wish he was so I guess that's the best I can do.
I'm in PA-1. It's a purple area, but I don't think our (R) rep is in any danger. He won in 2016 even though Hillary won the county. He's a leader in the Problem Solvers Caucus and says all the right things about working toward bipartisan solutions (whether or not he's actually following through with his actions may be debatable, but his words are effective). He has outraised the D challenger by a lot. I expect people will split tickets for him.
He moved here from CA to fill the seat vacated by his brother in 2016, which was weird but gave him a lot of built in name recognition.
Post by StrawberryBlondie on Oct 27, 2020 12:32:58 GMT -5
Well, Angie Craig (MN-2) won at the 8th circuit with her argument that state law requiring the election be postponed to a special election in February is incompatible with federal law requiring it to be in Nov.
The R candidate says he's going to appeal to SCOTUS saying he believes the laws can coexist.
ETA: apparently I misspoke and it's actually the MN Supreme Court, not the 8th circuit.
Well, Angie Craig (MN-2) won at the 8th circuit with her argument that state law requiring the election be postponed to a special election in February is incompatible with federal law requiring it to be in Nov.
The R candidate says he's going to appeal to SCOTUS saying he believes the laws can coexist.
Well, Angie Craig (MN-2) won at the 8th circuit with her argument that state law requiring the election be postponed to a special election in February is incompatible with federal law requiring it to be in Nov.
The R candidate says he's going to appeal to SCOTUS saying he believes the laws can coexist.
I fucking hate him
Here's the thing. They can't. They could if the law said the election would happen in Nov, and then a do-over in Feb. But it doesn't. These 2 laws directly contradict each other, so the federal has to prevail.
I'm in PA-1. It's a purple area, but I don't think our (R) rep is in any danger. He won in 2016 even though Hillary won the county. He's a leader in the Problem Solvers Caucus and says all the right things about working toward bipartisan solutions (whether or not he's actually following through with his actions may be debatable, but his words are effective). He has outraised the D challenger by a lot. I expect people will split tickets for him.
He moved here from CA to fill the seat vacated by his brother in 2016, which was weird but gave him a lot of built in name recognition.
I’m in PA1 too. My H who is an I actually got a mailer today (from a third party) that has Biden and Fitzpatrick on it touting bipartisanship and urging him to vote for both. Basically encouraging splitting the ticket. The optimist part of me wants to read that as they are giving up on the I’s going for Trump? I am bummed though. I fundraised for Finello and she’s just awesome. So down to earth and real. Still hoping for a shock.
I'm in PA-1. It's a purple area, but I don't think our (R) rep is in any danger. He won in 2016 even though Hillary won the county. He's a leader in the Problem Solvers Caucus and says all the right things about working toward bipartisan solutions (whether or not he's actually following through with his actions may be debatable, but his words are effective). He has outraised the D challenger by a lot. I expect people will split tickets for him.
He moved here from CA to fill the seat vacated by his brother in 2016, which was weird but gave him a lot of built in name recognition.
My boss volunteers with an immigrant rights organization in your district and has had many meetings with Fitzpatrick. She says he's... fine and potentially reasonable, but I know 100% she's not voting for him and never has.
I'm in PA-1. It's a purple area, but I don't think our (R) rep is in any danger. He won in 2016 even though Hillary won the county. He's a leader in the Problem Solvers Caucus and says all the right things about working toward bipartisan solutions (whether or not he's actually following through with his actions may be debatable, but his words are effective). He has outraised the D challenger by a lot. I expect people will split tickets for him.
He moved here from CA to fill the seat vacated by his brother in 2016, which was weird but gave him a lot of built in name recognition.
My boss volunteers with an immigrant rights organization in your district and has had many meetings with Fitzpatrick. She says he's... fine and potentially reasonable, but I know 100% she's not voting for him and never has.
This is me. As far as Rs go he’s not the worst but I’m still (never) voting for him. I’ve dialed in on his town halls and appreciate how he does try to encourage constituent engagement (which is more than I can say for our R senator). But he bends the knee when it matters most.
I used to work in advocacy and met Mike Fitzpatrick several times. I couldn't stand him, so that colors my view of Brian. I do think he seems warmer and more reasonable than his brother. And I do actually agree that divisiveness on both sides is an issue and I appreciate people who are working toward solutions.
CO-5, Doug Lamborn. Unfortunately there's no hope that this seat will flip, it's been held by a Republican ever since the district was created in 1973.