Georgia Runoff Election Day!

[NewOrleans]

Dec 6, 2022 21:55:02 GMT -5 curbsideprophet said:

Watching MSNBC, they are saying too close to call, but have enough info to say Warnock is leading. Maddow is saying that this is a change in how the decision desk is classifying the race.

What does the decision desk thing mean?  (Feel free to link instead of typing an explanation)

[seeyalater52]

Dec 6, 2022 21:55:49 GMT -5 AAM2012 said:

Dec 6, 2022 21:36:05 GMT -5 lust2hart said:

Because Warnock is not underperforming.

I am not trying to argue, I’m still not understanding how the comparison (i.e. over/under performing) is being made on voting results from 11/8 when Oliver was an option and took away votes between the two current options.

I believe (hope) Warnock will be the winner in the end, I just don’t think anyone should say here not to worry about something without evidence.

In what’s being reported from today’s election Warnock is consistently picking up more of those 3rd party votes than expected (and consequently Walker less than expected.) Which is good news. Trying to temper my enthusiasm because early election calls are not always a good bet but it is promising.

[seeyalater52]

Not that it means anything to folks on here without naming names but ALL my best GA political contacts whose intel I rely on for work say Walker is straight fucked and Warnock has it in the bag.

[mcsangel2]

91%

Warnock 50.1% Walker 49.9%

Warnock is up by 4074 votes. Are you fucking kidding me.

[NewOrleans]

Dec 6, 2022 21:27:57 GMT -5 AAM2012 said:

Dec 6, 2022 21:17:13 GMT -5 Tacocat said:

Good question. Warnock would need to underperform compared to the general election in the remaining urban areas in order to lose. I’m also watching Dave Wasserman on Twitter pretty closely. He has said several times the race is close but Warnock is doing better.

I’m still not understanding why you’re telling people here not to worry yet.

I know exactly nothing and have no optimism because I’m basically dead inside, but I thought it was because a few counties were flipping.

[neverfstop]

Dec 6, 2022 22:07:14 GMT -5 mcsangel2 said:

91%

Warnock 50.1% Walker 49.9%

Warnock is up by 4074 votes. Are you fucking kidding me.

i'm speechless...I can't believe it's that close or why anybody would for for walker. 

[mcsangel2]

91%

Tied 50-50 and WALKER is leading just shy of 2000 votes.

Whut.

[prettyinpearls]

Dec 6, 2022 22:07:14 GMT -5 mcsangel2 said:

91%

Warnock 50.1% Walker 49.9%

Warnock is up by 4074 votes. Are you fucking kidding me.

www.nytimes.com/interactive/2022/12/06/us/elections/results-georgia-us-senate-runoff.html?campaign_id=190&emc=edit_ufn_20221207&instance_id=79498&nl=from-the-times&regi_id=92430349&segment_id=115225&te=1&user_id=be18528e137e567649b6e1519c2ea2c8

Scroll down to where it shows results by county; you can see how many counties Warnock will have big margins in and how many more votes are left to count vs. the counties Walker has the lead in.  Fulton and DeKalb counties will be huge for Warnock. 

[mcsangel2]

Still 91%

But it flipped again and now Warnock is ahead by 800 votes.

I think I'm just going to go read for the rest of the night and get my update in the morning.

[mcsangel2]

Dec 6, 2022 22:18:18 GMT -5 prettyinpearls said:

Dec 6, 2022 22:07:14 GMT -5 mcsangel2 said:

91%

Warnock 50.1% Walker 49.9%

Warnock is up by 4074 votes. Are you fucking kidding me.

www.nytimes.com/interactive/2022/12/06/us/elections/results-georgia-us-senate-runoff.html?campaign_id=190&emc=edit_ufn_20221207&instance_id=79498&nl=from-the-times&regi_id=92430349&segment_id=115225&te=1&user_id=be18528e137e567649b6e1519c2ea2c8

Scroll down to where it shows results by county; you can see how many counties Warnock will have big margins in and how many more votes are left to count vs. the counties Walker has the lead in.  Fulton and DeKalb counties will be huge for Warnock. 

Damn paywall

[kadams767]

Wasserman called it for Warnock.

ETA:  sorry, delayed post for some reason.  Still happy to see this!

[sequins]

I'm so stressed. All the election calls on twitter are for Warnock but I didn't think it would be this close again.

[mrsd2006]

NBC projecting Warnock the winner 🥇

[lostrn]

Dec 6, 2022 22:16:26 GMT -5 neverfstop said:

Dec 6, 2022 22:07:14 GMT -5 mcsangel2 said:

91%

Warnock 50.1% Walker 49.9%

Warnock is up by 4074 votes. Are you fucking kidding me.

i'm speechless...I can't believe it's that close or why anybody would for for walker. 

I have Facebook "friends" posting in support of him. He agrees with all the republican BS and that's all they care about

[lust2hart]

Dec 6, 2022 22:20:42 GMT -5 sequins said:

I'm so stressed. All the election calls on twitter are for Warnock but I didn't think it would be this close again.

Yes, that is really disheartening.

[kadams767]

MSNBC just called it!

[curbsideprophet]

Dec 6, 2022 21:58:37 GMT -5 NewOrleans said:

Dec 6, 2022 21:55:02 GMT -5 curbsideprophet said:

Watching MSNBC, they are saying too close to call, but have enough info to say Warnock is leading. Maddow is saying that this is a change in how the decision desk is classifying the race.

What does the decision desk thing mean?  (Feel free to link instead of typing an explanation)

This might help

www.nbcnews.com/politics/2022-election/nbc-news-decision-desk-calls-races-midterm-election-night-2022-rcna55828

[sequins]

Dec 6, 2022 22:23:14 GMT -5 lust2hart said:

Dec 6, 2022 22:20:42 GMT -5 sequins said:

I'm so stressed. All the election calls on twitter are for Warnock but I didn't think it would be this close again.

Yes, that is really disheartening.

Disheartened for a minute but 51 babyyyyyyyyy 🥳

Goodbye to manchin's chokehold

[seeyalater52]

My new teammate (as of last week!) who worked the GA Dem coordinated campaign through the general and is at the Warnock election night party at HQ and I am sooooo jealous! Yay!!!

[mrsd2006]

Still too d%#m close. I can't believe it was still that freaking close. Damn.

[curbsideprophet]

Dec 6, 2022 21:55:49 GMT -5 AAM2012 said:

Dec 6, 2022 21:36:05 GMT -5 lust2hart said:

Because Warnock is not underperforming.

I am not trying to argue, I’m still not understanding how the comparison (i.e. over/under performing) is being made on voting results from 11/8 when Oliver was an option and took away votes between the two current options.

I believe (hope) Warnock will be the winner in the end, I just don’t think anyone should say here not to worry about something without evidence.

But there was evidence. Kornacki is looking at vote percentage. In Nov 2-3% of the vote went third party. There is no third option today so those % points have to go somewhere. For Walker to do well, he would need to pick up basically all those votes. He was not doing that. In some cases Warnock picked up more of the percentage than Walker. Does that make sense or help?

[erbear]

Even Fox News is calling it!!!

[bohemianmango]

I’m so glad to hear the race has been called for Warnock!

I’ll admit I’m going to miss the emails from the Obamas, the Clintons, John Legend, Martin Sheen and others.

[morecoffeeplease]

I’m so glad to wake up to this news. I’m so happy for the people who worked so hard in Georgia and for the people who voted. ❤️❤️

[NewOrleans]

Thanks, Obama. ☺️

[SwimDeep]

Relieved does not quite cover everything I'm feeling about this. I am so happy Walker lost, but I wish it hadn't been so close. And maybe it wouldn't have been close without all the voter suppression going on.

I guess relived but also wtaf??

[pugz]

so does this make Manchin irrelevant?

[aurora]

Dec 7, 2022 9:46:57 GMT -5 pugz said:

so does this make Manchin irrelevant?

Well, there's still Sinema. I wouldn't say irrelevant but certainly less powerful.

I was just reading this NPR explainer on the ways 51-49 is so much better for Ds than 50-50, and it does mention Manchin as one of the reasons.

www.npr.org/2022/12/07/1141065758/why-warnocks-seat-means-so-much-to-senate-democrats

[mcsangel2]

Dec 7, 2022 9:46:57 GMT -5 pugz said:

so does this make Manchin irrelevant?

It means he and Sinema would have to work in tandem to block legislation.