WaPo: See how your neighborhood is giving to Harris & Trump

[Susie]

Oct 24, 2024 14:37:12 GMT -5 sju said:

Oct 24, 2024 10:19:09 GMT -5 Bad Dingo said:

Check out The Villages (32162)

Can’t see the article without adding an email. How does it look like after the correction? Still red I’m sure, but anything positive for the democrats?

Biden/Harris - 1732 donors, $300k
Trump - 2332 donors, $500k

[sju]

Susie, thanks!

[Michelle]

My area shows the business case for campaign finance reform. In several zip codes, it looks like a small number of Trump fans are matching dollar for dollar what is going from a lot of smaller donations to Harris. The coincidence that Trump has equal to or greater dollars going to him in almost every zip code around me - to the round numbers - can't be a coincidence.

Zip Code	Candidate	Donors	Dollars
77584	Biden/Harris	1803	$200k
77584	Trump	736	$200k
77459	Biden/Harris	1858	$200k
77459	Trump	883	$200k
77099	Biden/Harris	180	$20k
77099	Trump	98	$20k
77477	Biden/Harris	340	$30k
77477	Trump	204	$30k
77059	Biden/Harris	469	$90k
77059	Trump	388	$90k
77062	Biden/Harris	483	$80k
77062	Trump	381	$80k

ETA - There is a big dark blue blotch south of Houston proper... that is the part of Pearland, Texas where there is a ton of diversity, medical professionals who work in the Texas Med Center, research scientists, and basically super educated people, many of whom are also affluent. 


@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@ Older @@@@@@@@@@@

It is also where an incredible volume of National Merit Scholars graduate (compared to schools in the neighboring zip codes). I've encouraged my kid to spread the word on social media to all the new 18-year-olds in the area that we are counting on them to VOTE BLUE!!

[AdaraMarie]

Where I currently live $200k, 2x as much money and 2.4x as many donors for Harris.

A part of South Denver (city limits as opposed to suburbs) where I used to live with my grandma: $500k, 10x as much money and 12x as many donors for Harris.

The less affluent suburb where I grew up on the other side of town: $30k, same amount of mony for each candidate but 2.2x as many Harris donors.

In every case Harris donors are contribiting less per person on average.

[lilac05]

Oct 24, 2024 15:01:51 GMT -5 ellipses84 said:

Oct 24, 2024 14:27:51 GMT -5 lilac05 said:

Look how much blue there is in Iowa!

I don’t understand why everyone counted Iowa out so quickly after they voted for Obama. I know they flipped drastically but I feel like with GenZ they could just as easily flip back. It seemed like everyone wrote them off and nobody campaigned there.

No one comes here after the caucuses. No one even bothers sending mail here. Sorry swing states…but after the caucus, I’m not sure I’ve gotten any federal election mail (and very little state).

The issue will likely be that the younger generations are fleeing the state (especially those who lean blue), and understandably so. However, I am pretty confident we will vote out our Governor in her next election, and things might turn around here. There’s definitely a growing interest!

[Vespasia]

My Baltimore zip code is $300k Harris, $6k Trump. I'm actually surprised he found 37 people around here to give him money!

Despite all the bizzaro Trump stuff I see around my dad's coastal CT town, I'm happy to see it's about 4:1 Harris both in people and dollars.

[erbear]

In my pretty blue neighborhood of Philadelphia, 1036 to Harris for $330k, and 46 to Trump for $30k. Trumpers donated, on average, more than twice the amount each.

[elleblue]

Oct 24, 2024 15:35:22 GMT -5 Susie said:

Oct 24, 2024 14:37:12 GMT -5 sju said:

Can’t see the article without adding an email. How does it look like after the correction? Still red I’m sure, but anything positive for the democrats?

Biden/Harris - 1732 donors, $300k
Trump - 2332 donors, $500k

Before the correction it was nice and blue. Ha. Even so, a 600 person difference isn't nearly the gap I would have anticipated.

[Velar Fricative]

I’m in the dark red blob in the middle of the NYC area sigh. I’m glad I read this thread to realize the dark colors is more about raw numbers than ratios though!

Biden/Harris - 418 donors, $50k
Trump - 869 donors, $100k

Nearly equal per donor for each candidate, which seems pretty unusual when I scan the map and read this thread. Other zip codes near me have lower donations from each Trump donor compared to Harris. Totally squares with what I know about this place - this is a more white working/middle class part of NYC and the MAGA runs deep and they’re vocal. At least there are (at least) 417 other sane people in my zip lol.

[DotAndBuzz]

Oct 24, 2024 13:29:17 GMT -5 scout8 said:

Oct 24, 2024 13:25:23 GMT -5 underwaterrhymes said:

Land doesn’t vote. 🩵 I think NC will go to Harris easily.

What makes you say that? I hope you are right, but I haven't seen anything to indicate this. 

The NC governor's race is also a complete shitshow. I think the dem candidate has a double digit lead over the republican candidate. I don't see how that tickets splits parties for president and governor.

[firedancer10288]

My very red area is a light blue on the map. I’d be shocked if Harris pulled out a win here. The dems may be donating more here, but the Trump signs outnumber the Harris signs 3 to 1.

[sent]

Can someone tell me why most of Staten Island is one shade shy of the darkest red?

Velar Fricative I think you're around there?

[mrsslocombe]

Oct 24, 2024 18:04:46 GMT -5 sent said:

Can someone tell me why most of Staten Island is one shade shy of the darkest red?

Velar Fricative I think you're around there?

Staten Island is way more conservative than the rest of NYC. 

There's a large population of cops, fire fighters, etc that live there. It's not just working class, it's a particular sector of working class. It's also way more white than the other boroughs. I don't have the data but I'd also bet that a far higher percentage of residents were born there vs the other boroughs where the population is more fluid. 

[sent]

mrsslocombe, I should've read the rest of the thread before I posted, Velar Fricative explained similarly a few posts above.

Hmmm, they must not be feeling the elimination of the SALT deduction to side so strongly with the openly racist candidate.

[sent]

I live in an almost dark blue town 100% surrounded by a medium blue town.

I work in a light blue town and we border a pink town. Interesting, there are more of the "my nonna was from Italy" variety of middle aged and older people living in the pink town and my hunch is they're the red ones. The rest of the town is made up of more recent immigrants mostly not from Italy.

[Velar Fricative]

Oct 24, 2024 18:13:05 GMT -5 mrsslocombe said:

Oct 24, 2024 18:04:46 GMT -5 sent said:

Can someone tell me why most of Staten Island is one shade shy of the darkest red?

Velar Fricative I think you're around there?

Staten Island is way more conservative than the rest of NYC. 

There's a large population of cops, fire fighters, etc that live there. It's not just working class, it's a particular sector of working class. It's also way more white than the other boroughs. I don't have the data but I'd also bet that a far higher percentage of residents were born there vs the other boroughs where the population is more fluid. 

Correct.

sent, the north shore is blue and more like the rest of the city. Mid-island and south shore are where the civil servants who have to have NYC residency in NYC find their safe space lol. But, there are neighborhoods in the other outer boroughs similar to this; it’s just that SI has a smaller population and they aren’t outnumbered by more populated neighborhoods.

There are a lot more transplants here than they’re used to be, and we also tend to stick around longer because the majority of us are homeowners. The pandemic brought a lot more people here from other parts of the city, and many MAGA people have left. And many immigrants making this their first stop in the US versus coming here from other boroughs first. The borough will still go for Trump but I am interested in seeing how close it can get given the changing demographics.

[circa1978]

This is really telling if the data is correct now because as liberal as St Louis is known for being (with Missouri and Southern Illinois for comparison), most people would try to tell you my zip code is conservative. (Living here, I disagree, but that's definitely the local reputation.) We have about 1,300 Harris gifts and $200,000 raised to Trump's 600 gifts and $100,000. Areas I thought for sure thought would go for Trump are all blue.

[heygrey]

My parent's zipcode is tied - 13 donors each and $1,000 each. It's a very rural, mostly poor area so I'm not surprised at the low amounts. I am shocked 13 people donated to Harris though. The next zip code over where a lot of my family lives has 30/$3,000 for Harris and 27/$5,000 for Dump. I am very pleasantly surprised to see the number of donors for Harris.

I've thought a few times that if I had to move "home" I could probably tolerate living in Ithaca. 3,500+ donors with $800,000 to Harris vs. 168 donors with $40k for Dump. It's a sea of dark blue in an otherwise red bubble.

[litebright]

Fascinatingly to me, the area where I grew up in very red, rural Ohio is a near-equal split. 74 Harris donors of a total of $8K, to 77 Trump donors raising $9K. I would have guessed that the numbers would be way more Trump-heavy. 

[litebright]

Fascinatingly to me, the area where I grew up in very red, rural Ohio is a near-equal split. 74 Harris donors of a total of $8K, to 77 Trump donors raising $9K. I would have guessed that the numbers would be way more Trump-heavy. 

[Beeps (WOT?*)]

I'm in a reliably blue state (WA) but in looking across the state I'm seeing encouraging signs that even in red areas I'm seeing more blue. North of us is a military base that I know is reliably red but when I put in the ZIP for said Navy town, it comes in solidly for Harris/Walz in terms of donations by number (709/426) although the dollars are almost identical. And looking to the farming communities north of us/east of the Navy town I'm seeing more blue than red, though the communities vote reliably red particularly in the state/local elections. I'm seeing that true in the area around the joint AF/Army base south of us as well.

In ID, my son's town is very, very blue, which rather surprised me but it's a college town so maybe not so much. My poor daughter who is moving to Meridian, just outside Boise, is moving into one of the darkest red areas of the town. Boise, however, I'm seeing numbers like 1626/189 in favor of Harris/Walz and several of the communities surrounding that area are also showing solid blue numbers. I think it would be awesome if the city turnouts are strong enough in some of these state to surprise us and give a couple or a few surprise Harris wins.(Sadly, I'm seeing Red in some of the other major Idaho cities so I'm not holding my breath but it would be fantastic if something like that happened.)

I'm seeing enough blue around Tampa to give me a little hope but I know it's not going to happen for us in FL.

[orval]

Oct 24, 2024 17:59:13 GMT -5 DotAndBuzz said:

Oct 24, 2024 13:29:17 GMT -5 scout8 said:

What makes you say that? I hope you are right, but I haven't seen anything to indicate this. 

The NC governor's race is also a complete shitshow. I think the dem candidate has a double digit lead over the republican candidate. I don't see how that tickets splits parties for president and governor.

NC splits all the time.  We also got rid of straight ticket voting a while ago.
I have lived here for over 25 years, we have only had one Republican governor (one term) in that time.