(Developing) Clinton retakes lead in NH in new poll.

[jdnotbyrider]

While it does only have 500 people in it, while it is only one poll, I figured you would be very interested in hearing about this.

www.politico.com/story/2015/10/poll-nh-214885?cmpid=sf

Hillary Clinton and Bernie Sanders are in a dead heat among likely New Hampshire primary voters, according to the results of a Suffolk University/Boston Globe poll released Friday.

Approximately 37 percent went for the former secretary of state, while 35 percent threw their support behind Sanders. Vice President Joe Biden, who has not announced a run, received just 11 percent. Additionally, just 36 percent want Biden to get into the race, while about 50 percent say the vice president should not seek a third run for the White House (he previously ran in the 1988 and 2008 cycles).


It's a marked swing in the right direction for Clinton, who drew just 28 percent to Sanders' 42 percent in a September NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist poll in the state. In that poll, too, Biden fared better, at 18 percent.

Suffolk had not polled Democratic voters in New Hampshire since June, when Clinton led by 10 points, 41 percent to 31 percent.

The poll was conducted Oct. 14-15, surveying 500 likely Democratic primary voters, with a margin of error of plus or minus 4.4 percentage points.

[heyjude]

But all those internet polls....?!

[elleblue]

It's a conspiracy! Polls are wrong!


Lol.

[heyjude]

www.oann.com/dncdebate/

This is also the first scientific poll after the debate which clearly shows HRC won.

[ESF]

One of the Sunday shows last week did some poll math to show that how a Biden run would impact Hillary more than Bernie. The reverse means that more of Biden's 11% would fall to her than him.

I hope it stays a horse race in Iowa and NH for now. I want Bernie to continue to do well enough to stay in the race. He's good for the party and I like him. I just don't want him to win.

[jdnotbyrider]

Oct 16, 2015 13:13:53 GMT -5 ESF said:

One of the Sunday shows last week did some poll math to show that how a Biden run would impact Hillary more than Bernie. The reverse means that more of Biden's 11% would fall to her than him.

I hope it stays a horse race in Iowa and NH for now. I want Bernie to continue to do well enough to stay in the race. He's good for the party and I like him. I just don't want him to win.

He's gotten  3.2 Million Dollars in the last 48 hours. He'll definitely last to the primaries.

[ESF]

Oct 16, 2015 13:12:05 GMT -5 heyjude said:

www.oann.com/dncdebate/

This is also the first scientific poll after the debate which clearly shows HRC won.

The breakdown and various questions all make sense. I mean, I don't consider myself an objective expert or anything, but they align perfection with my own perception of reality. 

[aurora]

Oct 16, 2015 13:07:49 GMT -5 elleblue said:

It's a conspiracy! Polls are wrong!


Lol.

Ever since Obama's victory the only poll I trust is 538.

[elleblue]

Oct 16, 2015 14:10:56 GMT -5 aurora said:

Oct 16, 2015 13:07:49 GMT -5 elleblue said:

It's a conspiracy! Polls are wrong!


Lol.

Ever since Obama's victory the only poll I trust is 538.

Lies, damn lies and statistics. 

[chedifuen]

heyjude slays me anytime she comments on Bernie related topics

[msmerymac]

Considering there are about 1.3 million people in NH, I imagine 500 is a reasonable sample size. You only need a bit less than 1200 people, if done correctly, to mirror the US population as a whole.