Post by WanderingWinoZ on Jul 27, 2018 8:18:52 GMT -5
Since we talk about this a lot here, I thought this was a cool map.
It's paywalled...I'll have to wait till Aug -----------
The Upshot published a fascinating and fine-grained map of the 2016 presidential election results, introduced with the question, “Do you live in a political bubble?” For example, I learned that my precinct in Brooklyn was in the 87th percentile for Hillary Clinton, but that the nearest Trump precinct is only one block away. President Trump himself, on the other hand, would have to drive 20 miles from the White House to wind up in a precinct that voted for him. [The Upshot]
Post by rondonalddo on Jul 27, 2018 8:28:53 GMT -5
Mine is a Trump precinct that was 73% for Trump, 19% for Clinton. Nearest Clinton precinct is a 30-minute drive away. Of the precincts that border mine, 4 are a lighter red, 3 are the same level of red, and 1 is a darker red. That is...not surprising.
The thing I found fascinating about NJ was that the areas that were largely Clinton supporters also seemed to overlap with the one of the main train lines (the north east corridor for those familiar) that runs in to NYC. So likely professionals who commute to the city and who also are of higher than average income.
This map gives me so much anxiety and makes me feel so discouraged. There is SO MUCH RED. Like, I know that, but seeing it like this scares the shit out of me.
I have a dumb question. Next to percentage is the votes category. Is that really the amount of votes or is that calculated somehow? When I poke around to random towns, they are low like below 500 which is horrible.
I'm in a political bubble of blue, 10 minutes from a Trump zone. Not surprised, seeing how many Trump signs went up when Bernie lost. A number of those red votes were no doubt protest votes. But as a PCO I knock on plenty of doors of Republicans, come from a family of Republicans and grew up in what appears to be a slightly blue area in a sea of red in California (I'm surprised it's blue but it's "the city" so why should I be? lol. All the blue dots are cities and towns where people tend to congregate.)
I moved from 74% Clinton voters, in the 95th percentile for her. Now I live in a blue precinct (59% Clinton) in a blue bubble in Trump country. Nearest Trump precinct is adjacent.
Post by penguingrrl on Jul 27, 2018 9:02:25 GMT -5
Not in a bubble. My town went 50% for Trump, 45% for Hillary, which was actually a huge shift (before that no Republican presidential candidate in decades has gotten less than 60% of the vote, not has a Democrat taken more than 33%). The town’s surrounding us were fairly evenly split, with slightly more red, but all were closer votes than usual.
Minneapolis area, so yes, but my individual precinct is a lighter shade of blue than I would have expected (about 60% Clinton). I'm close to precincts that were about 80% Clinton, which is how my neighborhood "feels" to me based on who we know. Clearly I'm in a bubble even in my own neighborhood!
Same.
I'm apparently a 14 minute drive from a Trump precinct.
Very blue bubble in a sea of red. 13 minutes from a Trump precinct. Not surprising. I saw very few Trump signs up during the election, which I think gave me false hope.
I’m light blue, but if you step out of my neighborhood, south or east, it’s pink. Step out to the west, darker blue. No dark reds in close proximity, but no real dark blues. It’s craxy how some neighborhoods are pink, some light blue. I can’t find a rhyme or reason, but somehow I’m not surprised.
The thing I found fascinating about NJ was that the areas that were largely Clinton supporters also seemed to overlap with the one of the main train lines (the north east corridor for those familiar) that runs in to NYC. So likely professionals who commute to the city and who also are of higher than average income.
I live in that line, and I noticed it, too. That line also encompasses a lot of the more ethnically diverse areas of NJ, which also would play a role.
Nope. My precinct is light red. The next one over to the west is light blue and the one directly south is darker red. Precinct to the northeast is dark blue, one to the northwest is darker red. Lots of variation.
Geographically I have most recently lived in very very red areas (70+% for Trump), but most of the people I interact with on a daily basis are military and vote absentee in other areas (including me — Eta: the precinct H and I vote in is also overwhelmingly blue) so ideologically I feel like people I know are much more blue (though probably more 50-50 than the 70-30 of our surrounding area).
My Facebook friends though are largely people from high school and college, and those geographic areas skew VERY BLUE, which makes for a much more liberal Facebook feed.
The thing I found fascinating about NJ was that the areas that were largely Clinton supporters also seemed to overlap with the one of the main train lines (the north east corridor for those familiar) that runs in to NYC. So likely professionals who commute to the city and who also are of higher than average income.
I live in that line, and I noticed it, too. That line also encompasses a lot of the more ethnically diverse areas of NJ, which also would play a role.
Yep, I am in the same area. I also realized the coincidence of the racial diversity as well, glad it wasn't just me!
Yes, definitely, but I was surprised to see some nearby districts went for Trump. The Trump districts by me have a high Orthodox Jewish population. Interesting.
Very blue in my district and city as a whole, but I live in Western NY where it is easy to head into a red area within 20 minutes. Even including a number of red suburbs, though, my county went for Clinton on the whole as well.