VA-7 here. Anxiously hoping Abigail Spanberger can pull it out. She was part of the Blue women wave 2 years ago.
The R running is a jackass who's been in the state government. Do not like him at all.
I wrote postcards for her campaign 2 years ago! It's so gratifying when my postcard candidates win.
In in WA-7, and thankfully that won't change when I move to another county. According to fivethirtyeight, Pramila Jayapal has a 99/100 chance of winning. I love her so much!
NJ-11 - Mikie Sherrill flipped the district in 2018 after the longtime Republican incumbent declined to defend his seat. She looks likely to keep her seat again in this election.
I got this mailer (not my photo) from her GOP challenger, Rosemary Becchi. I returned to sender with a note about how I’m not interested in dog whistles.
(The burning car pic was taken two years ago in California as a staged pic BTW)
Post by pumpkincat on Oct 14, 2020 12:29:28 GMT -5
I got to vote against Debbie Lesko (AZ-08) who is in the seat previously held by Trent Franks.
I dunno that Michael Muscato is going to win, but it was nice to vote for him!
Neighboring district is David Schweikert and Hiral Tiperneni. Dr. Tiperneni ran in my district in 2018 and is a great candidate. That race is currently considered a toss-up and would be HUGE if she wins.
I think Sharice Davids (KS) is safe. I am seeing ads on TV but no mailers and not a big presence from either of them when it comes to yard signs. They are trying to redistrict to take the seat from her though.
I'm in CA 45, Katie Porter's district. It's considered safe Dem for this cycle but I'm still a bit anxious because prior to 2018 we were always red. It certainly helps that Katie Porter built up an $8 million war chest while her opponent didn't even reach 3/4 of a million. I have not seen any ads for Greg Raths (her opponent) or any negative ads about KP. Just positive pro Katie Porter ones.
I'm in CA 45, Katie Porter's district. It's considered safe Dem for this cycle but I'm still a bit anxious because prior to 2018 we were always red. It certainly helps that Katie Porter built up an $8 million war chest while her opponent didn't even reach 3/4 of a million. I have not seen any ads for Greg Raths (her opponent) or any negative ads about KP. Just positive pro Katie Porter ones.
I'm in CA 45, Katie Porter's district. It's considered safe Dem for this cycle but I'm still a bit anxious because prior to 2018 we were always red. It certainly helps that Katie Porter built up an $8 million war chest while her opponent didn't even reach 3/4 of a million. I have not seen any ads for Greg Raths (her opponent) or any negative ads about KP. Just positive pro Katie Porter ones.
Katie Porter is a National Treasure.
She really is and I'm immensely proud she's my Rep.
Mine is Adam Schiff. His opponent is Eric Early who has a few billboards up with side by side pictures of a police car on fire and I presume Eric Early, conversing with the police. On the picture of the police car on fire it says “Adam Schiff defunds” and the other picture says “Eric Early defends”. It’s so strange because the places where I have seen the billboards are bastions of liberalism.
They're airing Early adds on NBC4 LA news in the morning - they're a similar tone to the billboards. Pictures of unrest and tent cities, "This is Adam Schiff's district"...
I'm in CA-29, which used to be Adam Schiff, but was redistricted in 2013 and had been Tony Cardenas ever since. He's fine, but nothing very special. I voted for his opponent, Angelica Duenas who is a more progressive Dem woman - they aren't even running an R.
Mine is Kurt Schrader, proud Blue Dog Dem 🙄 in office since 2008. Good points: because he works across the aisle, he’s been helpful getting emergency funding for the wildfires. He’s a veterinarian and checked in on large animals that had been evacuated, maybe partially publicity, but he looked like he actually cares. He’s got a solid record on pro-choice. Pushing for some compromise version of COVID relief. Negative: has voted against immigrants and refugees, weak on the environment, has a disturbing anti-regulation bent. Most recently made overtures that we need to open up and are overreacting to coronavirus 😤
The Republicans managed not to nominate an open Nazi, sorry, Proud Boy (Joey Nations), and picked Amy Ryan Courser. She served on a rural town council and owns a carpet cleaning business.
The papers are trying to make it seem like a race, but as of last reporting period, Schrader has $2.5 million on hand and Ryan Courser has $4,000. Yeah, not that worried.
I'm in CA 45, Katie Porter's district. It's considered safe Dem for this cycle but I'm still a bit anxious because prior to 2018 we were always red. It certainly helps that Katie Porter built up an $8 million war chest while her opponent didn't even reach 3/4 of a million. I have not seen any ads for Greg Raths (her opponent) or any negative ads about KP. Just positive pro Katie Porter ones.
Idk, I'm actually kinda don't feel like it's safe. There are so many Raths signs in my area and it scares me. Did you get that letter from OC Supervisor Lisa Bartlett? Apparently she didn't even know it about it, he wrote it, and she let him use her signature. Her office only said that she endorsed him.
You know, I have noticed a lot more Republican ads are fear mongering and labeling the other party extremists way more than I ever noticed before. Like in my district, all the mailers are like EXTREME LIBERAL VIEWS, YOUR KIDS ARE NOT SAFE, YOU AREN'T SAFE, AND THEY'LL TAKE YOUR MONEEEEEEY. And when we were camping, the only radio station we got was like NPR, but the local Republican adds were saying that the Dems were extremists and pro looting, taking away your guns, defunding your PUBLIC (charter) schools, but had actual quotes from that Dem candidate that were perfectly reasonable. It was so strange.
Post by gretchenindisguise on Oct 14, 2020 15:09:28 GMT -5
CA-49
It was contested in 2016 and even more so in 2018 when we kicked Issa out (as noted above - he's now slurked off to CA-50 to try to get back in). I just looked it up and Levin has a 20 pt lead over his challenger Maryott.
I'm in CA 45, Katie Porter's district. It's considered safe Dem for this cycle but I'm still a bit anxious because prior to 2018 we were always red. It certainly helps that Katie Porter built up an $8 million war chest while her opponent didn't even reach 3/4 of a million. I have not seen any ads for Greg Raths (her opponent) or any negative ads about KP. Just positive pro Katie Porter ones.
I fucking love Katie Porter. A work friend sent me a few YouTube videos of her and said I reminded her of Katie Porter. I’ve never felt so complimented in my life.
NJ-5, Gottheimer. We flipped the district blue in 2018. But Gottheimer sucks. I assume he's safe? I havent seen anything for his competitor. I was redistricted into this formerly red district (from a much bluer one) not that long ago.
MI-8. I’m nervous. We have an excellent rep at the moment (Elissa Slotkin) but she flipped the district in 2018). With so many Michigan State University kids having gone home for online classes, she’s lost a lot of her voters in the district. The R was leading most polls through Sept. Slotkin has pulled ahead with a narrow lead in the last 2 weeks. If anyone is looking for a very smart female candidate to donate to, this would be an great person to give to, could make all the difference. She needs cash to place ads for the MSU students still living in local apartments in lieu of on campus campaigning.
‘There is still a decent chance we may lose this seat.
UT-4th. We are a highly competitive district and our Representative, Ben McAdams, is the only Democrat representing Utah in the House or the Senate. Salt Lake City is a pretty liberal place, but these districts are so gerrymandered that he might lose his seat to a Q-Anon crackpot who used to play in the NFL and has done some super shady things with a charity he supposedly runs that has done no charity work and has paid him and his family $$$.
Post by penguingrrl on Oct 14, 2020 17:13:13 GMT -5
NJ- 4, not competitive. The asshole incumbent has been in his seat for 40 years and hasn’t held a town hall since 1994. He doesn’t even bother coming into the district pretty much ever and never really lived here (just rents a cheap studio to claim residency).
His opponent is amazing. Yale undergrad, Berkeley Law, spent years working for the State Dept in Haiti then worked for the Center for Reproductive Justice for the past few years. I love her. She also lives a block from me and is the friendliest and sweetest person.
But this is a highly gerrymandered seat. NJ is likely to lose a seat due to the 2020 census, so that’s likely the seat that will be absorbed.
TX-25 is an absurdly gerrymandered district. Travis county, the county that Austin is in, is split between 4 districts. TX-25 extends all the way to Fort Worth and encompasses Fort Hood.
Roger Williams (r) is a shady motherfucker. Julie Oliver (d) is running against him but it seems unlikely she will win.