Ok, from a looks point of view, I love the look of #2.
However...
From a knitter's point of view I would go with #4, though maybe #3. #1 has a triple cable pattern on each section - two rope cables either side of a diamond cable. #2 has a yoke and has fairisle pattern - you would have to keep an eye on the colour pattern at the same time as multiple decreases in each row. And each row would be looooong - from buttons, top of sleeve, back, top of sleeve front to buttons. Unless you chose to do it with the contrast colour just at the cuffs and maybe along the button band instead of the full fairisle section. It would certainly make the yoke section easier.
(yes, sometimes I'm a lazy knitter and pick the easier pattern when given 2 options...)
The garnet would be a great christmassy colour... The marine heather is a lovely unusual blue that has a warm hue off it which would be nice for winter. And indigo heather is warm without being too feminine.