And with that 538 gives me a heart attack

[karinothing]

The now cast is terrifying. projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/?ex_cid=rrpromo#now

TERRIFYING

[KateAggie]

That's gotta be a mistake, right? How could it switch so dramatically from the last forecast?

[underwaterrhymes]

Fuck

[iammalcolmx]

My god

[curbsideprophet]

I just looked at the numbers for NC. I feel like I should not have looked.

[smock]

They're predicting a 9.4% chance that HRC wins the popular vote but loses the election. WTF. We don't need a repeat of the 2000 election with an even WORSE GOP candidate.

[aurora]

[cbwm1]

I'm already having anxiety about tonight. This is making it worse.

[ufcasey]

That's confusing. If you scroll down to the winding snake like graphic, Clinton still currently has more than 270 electoral votes. So how does that put Trump as more likely to win?

[aurora]

Remember that the Now Cast is the most volatile. Polls Plus and Polls Only are very slightly better.

[isabel]

I'm not going to look at that. I don't understand how this is happening.

[penguingrrl]

I'm sick to my stomach. Will we really elect the embodiment of hate?

[ufcasey]

Sept 26, 2016 9:22:21 GMT -5 aurora said:

Remember that the Now Cast is the most volatile. Polls Plus and Polls Only are very slightly better.

Yeah that too. The election isn't being held today so I focus on the polls only one, which has her leading. By a very small fucking margin.

projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/

[KateAggie]

I'm really confused. When I click on the page, it shows Clinton 51 v Trump 48. But once it fully loads, it's 54 trump v 4something for HRC. But now I can't get the page to load past the first 51 v 48. Maybe it really is a glitch?

[ufcasey]

NYT upshot has Clinton at 69%.

[leeba25]

OMGWTF??!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

[aurora]

Sept 26, 2016 9:24:03 GMT -5 KateAggie said:

I'm really confused. When I click on the page, it shows Clinton 51 v Trump 48. But once it fully loads, it's 54 trump v 4something for HRC. But now I can't get the page to load past the first 51 v 48. Maybe it really is a glitch?

Is it first showing the default (Polls Only), then switching to Now Cast (if you clicked through the link here)? You can toggle them in the separate menu near the upper left of the non-mobile site.

[elleblue]

It's all going to come down to getting out the vote and having people actually show up. In some ways I'm glad it's close, if it looked like Hillary was running away with it, people might not bother at the last minute. Stay hungry, stay focused, and vote.

[leeba25]

Do you guys remember when it was 94% Hillary and 6% Trump?

UGHGHGHHGHGHGH

[karinothing]

I am not glad it is close at all. I don't trust people to turn out to vote. I hate this freaken election

[jene]

I just donated to Hillary's campaign again. That forecast is terrifying

[bellejar]

My default setting is optimism so I am going to interpret this as a wake-up call to Stein and Johnson voters to give up the ship and get on board with HRC. It was cute to be all "Jill Stein 2016!" when HRC was up by 10. Not cute anymore.

[One Girl In All The World]

Jesus fucking Christ. No.

[scout8]

Where is ESF? I need her to come in here and calm me down!

[elleblue]

Dems do better when voter turnout is high. They're often incredibly lazy and inconsistent when the outcome looks to be in the bag so despite how stupid it might make me, I do have hopes that people will show up this time.

[taratru]

Optimist me:
 

Pessimist me:

[Michelle]

Clinton has GOT to get Ohio and Florida. Gah.

[taratru]

Also, FUCK YOU GARY JOHNSON. You're gonna fuck this up for us. Go ahead and change your name to Ralph. Then smoke some more weed about it.

[JRo]

What the shit? I don't understand anything anymore.

[JLV]