For whatever reason the USC Dornsife/LA Times poll has a strong Trump house effect. They do a daily tracker national poll that has had Trump in the lead since Sept 12th. Even today their latest has Trump at +3. But 538 accounts of the house effect in their 538 magic and they adjusted that to a +2 for Clinton today.
Post by CallingAllAngels on Oct 7, 2016 10:37:17 GMT -5
What is up with this poll? I hate seeing on the 528 update list because it's always so heavily slanted toward Trump. It looks like it was +5/6 Trump last week, so it's trending in the right direction.
Post by katietornado on Oct 7, 2016 10:47:45 GMT -5
LOLOL
They just started with a group of people, and it so happened that those people lean Trump. They survey those same people to see how they change throughout the election season. So say baseline is +5 Trump. If everything else swings to +3 Clinton, this one would still be +2 Trump. Make sense?
So the fact that this has gone from heavily Trump to +2 Clinton is HILARIOUS. The Trump camp LOOOOVES to trot this one out, esp Lewandowski. The people on CNN always have to say 'that's a tracking poll and it doesn't meet our standards.'