Trump cancelling ad buys

[jeaniebueller]

in FL, NC and OH, per Sam Stein on twitter. FL and NC I can understand perhaps due to the hurricane and power outages. But Ohio? 

[bex]

Do you think he's cancelling because he is giving up on those states or because he is so confident of victory in those states?

(I wouldn't be confident at all in FL and NC if I were him, and only marginally confident in OH.)

[eclaires]

Maybe he doesn't want to spend the money? It can't be that he's confident, that's ridiculous.

[katietornado]

[timorousbeastie]

Oct 7, 2016 12:57:15 GMT -5 eclaires said:

Maybe he doesn't want to spend the money? It can't be that he's confident, that's ridiculous.

That has me wondering - what happens if there is still campaign money left over after the election? Is Trump able to keep it? Maybe he sees the writing on the wall that he won't win and wants to save as much money for himself as possible?

[mrshandy]

The latest polls have Ohio leaning Trump. But I do find it surprising that he is pulling ads.

www.npr.org/2016/10/05/496543135/npr-battleground-map-clinton-tide-rises-again

[downtoearth]

Maybe Pence convinced him to run a positive campaign and put some policies out there instead of attack ads?

(Where is that sarcasm font button, again? )

[jeaniebueller]

Oct 7, 2016 13:00:42 GMT -5 timorousbeastie said:

Oct 7, 2016 12:57:15 GMT -5 eclaires said:

Maybe he doesn't want to spend the money? It can't be that he's confident, that's ridiculous.

That has me wondering - what happens if there is still campaign money left over after the election? Is Trump able to keep it? Maybe he sees the writing on the wall that he won't win and wants to save as much money for himself as possible?

I thought it goes to the RNC?

[bowies]

Mobile is in AL so that might be his first mistake.

A lot of those markets aren't impacted by the hurricane. Hmmmm.

[sparkythelawyer]

I bet he's hoping RNC will.pay for ads for him

[FloFTW]

I think he assumes he already has the places in Ohio locked up (he's probably right).

[2doxies]

Cancelling in PA also seems foolish.

[partiallysunny]

This is word of mouth information, but H read an article saying the support for Trump in Erie, PA was unprecedented. How unanimous it is throughout the city. I can't remember how exactly he worded it, but it gave me the distinct impressive Erie loves Trump.

So maybe it is because he's confident in those areas?

[katietornado]

Stupid Jason Miller says on Twitter:

1/2 A few media buying updates on our increased media spend, which is growing by an extra $1M. State-by-state levels remain roughly same…
2/2 Our data-driven campaign is shifting resources from over-performing markets to new battlegrounds w/in the battlegrounds. Buy is growing.

Best response:

[claudiajean]

Oct 7, 2016 13:00:42 GMT -5 timorousbeastie said:

Oct 7, 2016 12:57:15 GMT -5 eclaires said:

Maybe he doesn't want to spend the money? It can't be that he's confident, that's ridiculous.

That has me wondering - what happens if there is still campaign money left over after the election? Is Trump able to keep it? Maybe he sees the writing on the wall that he won't win and wants to save as much money for himself as possible?

I think he has "loaned" the campaign a lot of money. Typically, the loan wouldn't be paid back. However, if they have extra funds, his campaign could pay himself back like any creditor.

However, since we know he doesn't pay contractors what he agrees to if they don't meet his standards, should he really pay himself back if he loses?

[OscarQ]

Oct 7, 2016 13:34:58 GMT -5 partiallysunny said:

This is word of mouth information, but H read an article saying the support for Trump in Erie, PA was unprecedented. How unanimous it is throughout the city. I can't remember how exactly he worded it, but it gave me the distinct impressive Erie loves Trump.

So maybe it is because he's confident in those areas?

IDK about the other states but Wilkes-Barre and Erie are a lock for Trump.  Granted you have to get your people to the polls regardless of how favorable they're polling so pulling ads in FL and OH seems odd to me. Not that it matters in PA since that is looking pretty good for HRC.  I can see not spending the money there.

ETA:  I've been thinking about his campaign funds and if, with all the talk about him stiffing creditors and suppliers, the media buyers would insist on money up front.  IDK how that works but I wonder if him simply not being able to pay the bills and them not extending credit is a factor.

[killercupcake]

I'm happy that my family in Youngstown doesn't have to listen to the ads anymore. Lol

Now can he cancel the ads in Nevada? I'd be very appreciative.

[amberlyrose]

The one in CO is a major red area, so I'm not surprised.

[curbsideprophet]

I will be shocked and extremely disappointed if Greensboro NC goes to Trump. Guilford county went to Obama in 2008 and 2012.

[mrsukyankee]

Yeah, WB is where I grew up. It's always been red. It would really like to go back to the 1950s. When I was in university, I came to work at my local paper for a summer internship. When one of the lead guys found out that I went to said university, he told me it was a shame as I was taking a spot from a guy and walked away. Yeah. There's a reason I left the area and fast.

[spaghettisquash]

His ads are on almost every commercial break on the big10 network. I was commenting on it to my husband as I haven't seen any here in MD.

It makes sense if you look at the footprint of the big10- it's the rust belt plus NJ and MD.

[UMaineTeach]

Presque Isle is likely a lock for Trump and he has no shot in Portland.

[Monica Geller]

The ads I have seen make me rage (in OH). I hope he pulls them, at least I won't want to punch something as often.

[curbsideprophet]

When does this take effect? I just saw a Trump commercial. I feel like this might be the first one I have seen. I have seen other Republican ads and Hillary ads but not sure I have seen a Trump ad. Full disclosure I often watch things from TiVo and so I skip all th ads.

[winecat]

Oct 7, 2016 14:38:59 GMT -5 amberlyrose said:

The one in CO is a major red area, so I'm not surprised.

I'm seeing so many ads here.  

[smock]

He knows he's going to lose, and he wants to make sure the campaign returns the $50 mil he's contributed.

/gavel

[curbsideprophet]

Oct 7, 2016 19:47:46 GMT -5 smock said:

He knows he's going to lose, and he wants to make sure the campaign returns the $50 mil he's contributed.

/gavel

I think this is most likely