First, let’s consider the concept of political realignment. Historically, political realignment has occurred when groups of voters change their affiliation to a new political party or candidate, especially around presidential and midterm elections.
Of course, party realignment is a tricky thing since we only come to know that it has happened in hindsight. While some of these disputes led to realignment, often they only signal a loss of power for the party in question in the next election.
How does today’s House Republican conference fit these patterns of disfunction? For one, the viciousness of the arguments within the GOP conference and the threats to members reveal a party in disarray. What some have termed a “Republican civil war” seems aptly put, and as with the last Civil War, the consequences for the two-party system could be equally lasting.
It's an opinion piece, but it made me wonder: what would come next? Would we have a far right party (name TBD) and the Democrats? Or would we end up with 3?
Post by penguingrrl on Oct 24, 2023 6:53:17 GMT -5
I feel like we’ve been watching this come since the Reagan era, and the GOP is definitely in its death throes. I don’t know what the future will look like, other than knowing that we will always only have two major parties in this country. Because you need to win a plurality of the electoral college, not just a majority, the system will always favor two parties. Until we abolish the electoral college, which I wish could happen, we won’t be able to truly support more than 2 parties.