Also just saw analysis that Gillespie essentially has to hold Trump numbers in Western part of the state and improve on Trump numbers from Urban Crescent.
That will be difficult. I think Gillespie will improve a bit in urban areas but Trump often doubled Cuccinelli’s numbers from 2013.
Seeing that turnout in NoVA precincts is north of 30% at noon - some include absentee and some don’t. Not sure if that’s good or bad! Seems high.
ETA: Seems that Alexandria is up 8% from 2013 so far.
ArlNow, Arlington on-line news, is reporting that Arlington is at nearly 40% & are expecting to get near or over 50%. Which is significantly more than turnout that pushed McAuliffe over the edge.
Anyone in RoVA or solid red districts have turnout reports?
I'm in the Roanoke County area, but no solid turnout info. News stations haven't really reported or updated stories from this morning, so that leads me to believe its either as expected or lower. Absentee ballots were up, but I haven't found a source that says how much. It was dry and not really chilly this morning, but has gotten much colder and a solid rain since then.
I'm in a pretty red district, about 70-30 or so. There was no one in line when I went to vote this morning. Hoping the potential Gillespie voters are staying home!
Post by georgeglass on Nov 7, 2017 17:11:57 GMT -5
I voted (and yes, still got a little teary).
There was a line, which is unusual. I think I was voter 1105, but looking at my precinct map that feels crazy high. The election official did say it had been busy all day (and it's cold and rainy). I said I hope this turns out better than last time and she stifled a laugh.
I did see a couple people in line that I know are Rs. I did NOT see Rick Gates, though I heard he went earlier (although now looking at my precinct map, I think he's just outside of it. My precinct is really small, hence being confused about 1105.)
Weather in Richmond is not great and getting worse, which concerns me.
Who am I kidding? EVERYTHING concerns me today.
It has been pouring rain in Loudoun all day with a temp around 45 degrees. People are still coming out. DS and I spent 3 hours driving seniors to the polls. There was only 1 Gillespie voter, which surprised me. I'm cautiously optimistic.
My coworker says her two children applied for absentee. One came back denied and too late to edit and reapply. One never came at all and she called multiple times and was assured it was in the mail.
This is why there shouldn’t need to be a reason to vote absentee. Everyone who wants to should be allowed.
Or do all mail in like the good states
I've voted every way. Absentee, early (only allowed because I was out of town election day. Early was restricted like absentee). Digital. Florida hanging Chad. For last 10 years ago mail in state.
In 2004 I let my class out early (corporate trainer) to vote since it was snowing, and I was worried about commutes. I really don't understand getting it the way of the right to vote. Even my super conservative boss with an Ann coulter book on his desk made sure I voted, though he teased he'd vote for me
I am watching CNN and their exit polls are saying that half of Virginia voters said that Trump was not a factor in their vote at all (the other options were vote was to support or oppose Trump). That makes me nervous because I feel like Dems would naturally say their vote is to oppose Trump - the people who say it's not a factor seem to me to be the Republicans who hold their nose and vote R despite Trump.
Just voted in Loudoun. Steadily slow stream, but that is totally normal. I asked about turnout and he said about 100 people per hour (we were almost 1100) which I feel is pretty good looking at our precinct map.
He said no I voted stickers so I am taking that as a sign that they ran out because of high voter turnout.
So weird - why can I see some tweets but not others? I can't see the one above, but when I hit reply, the box shows that it is supposed to have a tweet in it.
I am watching CNN and their exit polls are saying that half of Virginia voters said that Trump was not a factor in their vote at all (the other options were vote was to support or oppose Trump). That makes me nervous because I feel like Dems would naturally say their vote is to oppose Trump - the people who say it's not a factor seem to me to be the Republicans who hold their nose and vote R despite Trump.
I don't think it should make you nervous. Trump was not a factor in who I voted for. I would have voted Northam no matter who the president.
Post by stackingtens on Nov 7, 2017 18:49:19 GMT -5
I'm in the Virginia Tech area and went at 11, my husband went at 6 and we both had a solid line to wait in. We have a big delegate election AND a mayoral election so I know our turnout will be high. Our area is solidly blue but our region is not. My husband said he hoped the weather would keep the "old guard" republicans home, since the college/university population is primarily dem voters.
Lots of annoyed voters at my location because some college young republican volunteers were sitting behind the check in desks noting the names of everyone who came in to vote (legal, but seems like an intimidation tactic).
I'm still nervous. But every poll I saw beforehand from blue areas indicated that Northam had a 2-6 pt lead, and every poll from red areas said they were neck and neck, so that bodes well. But then I remember 538 and get pissed all over again.
I am watching CNN and their exit polls are saying that half of Virginia voters said that Trump was not a factor in their vote at all (the other options were vote was to support or oppose Trump). That makes me nervous because I feel like Dems would naturally say their vote is to oppose Trump - the people who say it's not a factor seem to me to be the Republicans who hold their nose and vote R despite Trump.
I don't think it should make you nervous. Trump was not a factor in who I voted for. I would have voted Northam no matter who the president.
Me:
Of course, to be honest, this is also me:
Our legislature is SO fucked up. We NEED a D governor.
We don’t have cable so I’m depending on you and Twitter to give me nothing but good news.
You need a Ph.D. (and not the Carter Page kind) to work our remote, so I am lying on the couch drinking and refreshing Twitter. Our local news says small rural counties report first, so don't pay much attention for trends. Chesterfield and Henrico are the ones to watch. Chesterfield will likely go red, but the margin is important. (Also - Chesterfield turnout was low. Yay). Henrico will be close.