I've been on the road all week and am way behind on following the storm. A dear friend who lives in Homestead (north of Key Largo) and is debating to evacuate up here and stay with us.
Do we know when it will be too late to get on the road?
Your friend should probably get on the road ASAP. I am way north of her and people are saying that, if you're planning to leave, to leave tomorrow. The sooner the better.
carmenere I'm seeing a lot of chatter on Twitter about Thursday being decision day for evacuation, when the 3-day forecast is most reliable. So I'd honestly want to get out in front of that traffic.
My son and his girlfriend who is pregnant with my grandson Squishy are in Kissimmee. This is his first hurricane. He's inland so he's prepping but not **prepping** for it, I think. I'm worried. Her parents, grandparents and rest of the family are in Tampa on the Gulf coast, so I'm really worried about them. They do have a plan of picking up my son and daughter-in-law and heading north if the tracking looks like they should, so that makes me feel a little better. My mother-in-law and her sister just left our house on Sunday and are back in Port Orange, which is near Daytona. She's 73 and has mobility issues (can't walk across a room without having to use furniture to help her get around) and since she's closer to the coast I'm more worried about how they're going to be affected. They're east and north-central coast so I'm crossing my fingers. My daughter is in Suffolk and has offered them all the use of her spare bedroom, just in case, which makes me feel a little bit better.
Post by WanderingWinoZ on Sept 6, 2017 7:59:42 GMT -5
latest map - remember that is a CONE OF UNCERTAINTY- so could still go anywhere in the cone...not necessarily teh center/middle ETA: From space city blog However, it is equally important to note that we are discussing a forecast for conditions five days from now. Although hurricane forecasters are pretty good with forecast tracks, the average five-day error is still about 200 to 250 miles in terms of track.
Obviously the trend lines here are great for Florida, however there are some definite concerns with this scenario too. It’s destructive for the Bahamas, of course, and in the six-seven day range the track also may well curve back to the northwest and move into the Carolinas.
Some images from St Martin and St Barts were posted on a Guadeloupe news account I started following.
Holy crap, thats terrifying.
On the radio news this morning they were on the phone with someone on st martin and she said there was water pooling in her hotel room - on the 6th floor of the hotel.
Track is looking better for my parents, worse for my inlaws/us. Our area of coastal VA was battered by flooding from Matthew - we are not equipped for a storm like this, even assuming it lessens to a 3.
It's also worthwhile to note that Irma is 400 miles in diameter. That's the distance between Miami (South Florida) and Tallahassee (North Florida). The entire Southeast is going to be touched by this.
Some images from St Martin and St Barts were posted on a Guadeloupe news account I started following.
Holy crap, thats terrifying.
On the radio news this morning they were on the phone with someone on st martin and she said there was water pooling in her hotel room - on the 6th floor of the hotel.
Track is looking better for my parents, worse for my inlaws/us. Our area of coastal VA was battered by flooding from Matthew - we are not equipped for a storm like this, even assuming it lessens to a 3.
It's also worthwhile to note that Irma is 400 miles in diameter. That's the distance between Miami (South Florida) and Tallahassee (North Florida). The entire Southeast is going to be touched by this.
The updated tracking is making me hyperventilate. MH was trying to talk about it last night, and what we would do, and I was on the edge of an anxiety attack. By the time it reaches VA, I'll either have a few day old newborn or be in the process of having a baby. While flooding is less of a concern, loss of power is definitely a concern. And then I feel bad about freaking out, because others will definitely be hit harder than us.
Not to make anyone panic, but some info I learned from a friend with ties to the region -- apparently most buildings in the Caribbean are made from poured concrete and volcanic rock, whereas in Florida, there's still a lot of sheet rock and plywood.
So if anyone if refusing to evacuate because buildings are still standing on Barbuda, they need to know this.
Not to make anyone panic, but some info I learned from a friend with ties to the region -- apparently most buildings in the Caribbean are made from poured concrete and volcanic rock, whereas in Florida, there's still a lot of sheet rock and plywood.
So if anyone if refusing to evacuate because buildings are still standing on Barbuda, they need to know this.
Do we even know that buildings are standing there? Last I heard the govt in Antigua was still trying to re-establish contact. Like they will probably have to physically go there because all communications infrastructure is down.
There's some level of contact with St Maarten, a friend of ours updated about an hour ago and several other folks on Twitter have posted photos/videos. Not much from Antigua or other parts yet that I can find. ETA and "standing" appears to be a relative term. Streets are completely engulfed, roofs are gone, and the cinder block walls might still be there but that's about it.
Track is looking better for my parents, worse for my inlaws/us. Our area of coastal VA was battered by flooding from Matthew - we are not equipped for a storm like this, even assuming it lessens to a 3.
It's also worthwhile to note that Irma is 400 miles in diameter. That's the distance between Miami (South Florida) and Tallahassee (North Florida). The entire Southeast is going to be touched by this.
The updated tracking is making me hyperventilate. MH was trying to talk about it last night, and what we would do, and I was on the edge of an anxiety attack. By the time it reaches VA, I'll either have a few day old newborn or be in the process of having a baby. While flooding is less of a concern, loss of power is definitely a concern. And then I feel bad about freaking out, because others will definitely be hit harder than us.
A hurricane (I think a Cat 1) came through the day after we came home with DS. At the time we were ~15 miles inland from the Atlantic. We lost power late that night and through until the early morning hours, but we were ok. Please don't go doomsday on this. Prep what you can (water, diapers, formula even if you plan to breastfeed). Take whatever isn't nailed down at the hospital. I asked for (and received) multiple pad/panty packs. Fill every prescription offered to you at the hospital pharmacy. If it's bad and you don't have other kids at home, look into booking a room with the visitor floor if you have that option.
The updated tracking is making me hyperventilate. MH was trying to talk about it last night, and what we would do, and I was on the edge of an anxiety attack. By the time it reaches VA, I'll either have a few day old newborn or be in the process of having a baby. While flooding is less of a concern, loss of power is definitely a concern. And then I feel bad about freaking out, because others will definitely be hit harder than us.
A hurricane (I think a Cat 1) came through the day after we came home with DS. At the time we were ~15 miles inland from the Atlantic. We lost power late that night and through until the early morning hours, but we were ok. Please don't go doomsday on this. Prep what you can (water, diapers, formula even if you plan to breastfeed). Take whatever isn't nailed down at the hospital. I asked for (and received) multiple pad/panty packs. Fill every prescription offered to you at the hospital pharmacy. If it's bad and you don't have other kids at home, look into booking a room with the visitor floor if you have that option.
Thank you! I needed that. Definitely having MH go shopping tonight just in case.
Not to make anyone panic, but some info I learned from a friend with ties to the region -- apparently most buildings in the Caribbean are made from poured concrete and volcanic rock, whereas in Florida, there's still a lot of sheet rock and plywood.
So if anyone if refusing to evacuate because buildings are still standing on Barbuda, they need to know this.
Do we even know that buildings are standing there? Last I heard the govt in Antigua was still trying to re-establish contact. Like they will probably have to physically go there because all communications infrastructure is down.
Yeah I'm not sure. I didn't realize when I typed this that nobody had heard from Barbuda. I am realizing now the pictures posted upthread were St Martin. Pre-coffee posting is never a good idea.
Track is looking better for my parents, worse for my inlaws/us. Our area of coastal VA was battered by flooding from Matthew - we are not equipped for a storm like this, even assuming it lessens to a 3.
It's also worthwhile to note that Irma is 400 miles in diameter. That's the distance between Miami (South Florida) and Tallahassee (North Florida). The entire Southeast is going to be touched by this.
The updated tracking is making me hyperventilate. MH was trying to talk about it last night, and what we would do, and I was on the edge of an anxiety attack. By the time it reaches VA, I'll either have a few day old newborn or be in the process of having a baby. While flooding is less of a concern, loss of power is definitely a concern. And then I feel bad about freaking out, because others will definitely be hit harder than us.
Having a new baby is a lot on its own. Adding in a storm like this is very hard. I totally get the worry.
I am due the 20th but have a history of preterm birth and stopped my shots last week. I could go anytime. I'm in the Carolinas and also very worried. I'm lucky that we are far enough inland that we shouldn't get the full impact even if it comes straight in. I just worry about doing it alone with a toddler at 38 + weeks since DH is an emergency responder.
Why would the media exaggerate the threat of a hurricane? Here's Limbaugh's theory:
There is symbiotic relationship between retailers and local media, and it's related to money. It revolves around money. You have major, major industries and businesses which prosper during times of crisis and panic, such as a hurricane, which could destroy or greatly damage people's homes, and it could interrupt the flow of water and electricity. So what happens?
Well, the TV stations begin reporting this and the panic begins to increase. And then people end up going to various stores to stock up on water and whatever they might need for home repairs and batteries and all this that they're advised to get, and a vicious circle is created. You have these various retail outlets who spend a lot of advertising dollars with the local media.
The local media, in turn, reports in such a way as to create the panic way far out, which sends people into these stores to fill up with water and to fill up with batteries, and it becomes a never-ending repeated cycle. And the two coexist. So the media benefits with the panic with increased eyeballs, and the retailers benefit from the panic with increased sales, and the TV companies benefit because they're getting advertising dollars from the businesses that are seeing all this attention from customers.
The updated tracking is making me hyperventilate. MH was trying to talk about it last night, and what we would do, and I was on the edge of an anxiety attack. By the time it reaches VA, I'll either have a few day old newborn or be in the process of having a baby. While flooding is less of a concern, loss of power is definitely a concern. And then I feel bad about freaking out, because others will definitely be hit harder than us.
Having a new baby is a lot on its own. Adding in a storm like this is very hard. I totally get the worry.
I am due the 20th but have a history of preterm birth and stopped my shots last week. I could go anytime. I'm in the Carolinas and also very worried. I'm lucky that we are far enough inland that we shouldn't get the full impact even if it comes straight in. I just worry about doing it alone with a toddler at 38 + weeks since DH is an emergency responder.
Why would the media exaggerate the threat of a hurricane? Here's Limbaugh's theory:
There is symbiotic relationship between retailers and local media, and it's related to money. It revolves around money. You have major, major industries and businesses which prosper during times of crisis and panic, such as a hurricane, which could destroy or greatly damage people's homes, and it could interrupt the flow of water and electricity. So what happens?
Well, the TV stations begin reporting this and the panic begins to increase. And then people end up going to various stores to stock up on water and whatever they might need for home repairs and batteries and all this that they're advised to get, and a vicious circle is created. You have these various retail outlets who spend a lot of advertising dollars with the local media.
The local media, in turn, reports in such a way as to create the panic way far out, which sends people into these stores to fill up with water and to fill up with batteries, and it becomes a never-ending repeated cycle. And the two coexist. So the media benefits with the panic with increased eyeballs, and the retailers benefit from the panic with increased sales, and the TV companies benefit because they're getting advertising dollars from the businesses that are seeing all this attention from customers.
What. The. Fuck.
I wish we could send his ass down to the keys so he can see the "fake"-ness in person.