Jinx! Just deleted my thread. It was a post and run with no article or talking point anyway.
There is a lot of buzz about Texas right now and while I will do the dance of joy if Biden somehow wins Texas, it still seems so unlikely.
I feel the same way. I'm about 20 minutes north of Dallas and at times it really feels like it could happen, but then I remember all of the rural areas and just how big TX is and I realize it's not likely. But I am so damn excited that it's even a conversation.
We are a politically mixed marriage, officially. DH still hasn't gotten around to changing his party affiliation from R to D, but he's a solid D. Amazing, considering when we met 18 years ago he was such a Reagan fan and now he's like TRICKLE DOWN ECONOMICS IS A SHAM!!! to anyone who will listen. He was a typical New York moderate Republican. He began leaning left around 2008 when he voted for Obama and then D ever since for most races. I'm pretty sure it was my influence, because I'm way more into politics than he is.
Hackers stole $2.3 million from the Wisconsin Republican Party’s account that was being used to help reelect President Donald Trump in the key battleground state, the party’s chairman told The Associated Press on Thursday.
The party noticed the suspicious activity on Oct. 22 and contacted the FBI on Friday, said Republican Party Chairman Andrew Hitt.
Hitt said the FBI is investigating. FBI spokesman Leonard Peace did not immediately return a message seeking comment.
“There’s no doubt RPW is now at a disadvantage with that money being gone,” Hitt said. The party and campaign needs money late in the race to make quick decisions, he said.
My sister just sent me a picture of a storefront in her neighborhood filled with printouts from 2016 polls, reminding people that this is not a done deal and not to let up before the election.
Post by picksthemusic on Oct 29, 2020 8:57:30 GMT -5
It's Thursday, tomorrow is Friday, we have the weekend, and then two more days.
We can do this.
I was listening to PSA and Jon quoted Stacey Abrams who said, "I'm not optimistic, I'm determined." Or something to that effect, but it was a good kick in the butt to remember that we can't give up now.
Jinx! Just deleted my thread. It was a post and run with no article or talking point anyway.
There is a lot of buzz about Texas right now and while I will do the dance of joy if Biden somehow wins Texas, it still seems so unlikely.
I feel the same way. I'm about 20 minutes north of Dallas and at times it really feels like it could happen, but then I remember all of the rural areas and just how big TX is and I realize it's not likely. But I am so damn excited that it's even a conversation.
The size of the state isn’t relevant if the metro areas have astronomic turnout (which it seems they might). I’m cautiously optimistic
I’m in the Dallas burbs and while the loud mouths on social media and yard signs are heavier for Trump, I was surprised to see in the link someone posted that broke down donations to each campaign by ZIP code that my ZIP favored Biden! I don’t think Biden will win Texas but it does seem with every election it’s leaning more and more blue.
I made 50 GOTV calls last night and talked to a hilarious 89 year old man. He had already returned his ballot but wanted to chat about how awful Trump is. He told me “I voted for Reagan, I voted for Eisenhower, but I would never vote for that man.” He had a lot of opinions and wanted to chat.
Jinx! Just deleted my thread. It was a post and run with no article or talking point anyway.
There is a lot of buzz about Texas right now and while I will do the dance of joy if Biden somehow wins Texas, it still seems so unlikely.
Anecdotal evidence, but a FB friend in TX that "leans libertarian" and is a conservative Christian (wife of minister) friend has been posting things about how to be pro-life but vote for Biden and that kind of thing. She has a *large* following on Facebook. I have no idea who she voted in 2016 as she usually keep politics off her posts, but this year she definitely is posting things like "let's examine how much presidents have control over abortion policies" and "I've been thinking and {insert scripture} this leads me to wonder about {insert policy} and if that's following Christ's path..."
She's clearly reaching her audience, looking at comments...changing their minds and providing some food for thought.
I feel the same way. I'm about 20 minutes north of Dallas and at times it really feels like it could happen, but then I remember all of the rural areas and just how big TX is and I realize it's not likely. But I am so damn excited that it's even a conversation.
The size of the state isn’t relevant if the metro areas have astronomic turnout (which it seems they might). I’m cautiously optimistic
Exactly. VA is similar. Not nearly as big, but it's overwhelmingly red except for key metro areas. If those people in metro areas of TX get out and vote it COULD be possible. I'm not holding my breath, but it's possible.
Have we had any discussion about the two Supreme Court decisions that will allow votes to be counted after Election Day in Pennsylvania and North Carolina? I might have missed it.
Have we had any discussion about the two Supreme Court decisions that will allow votes to be counted after Election Day in Pennsylvania and North Carolina? I might have missed it.
We haven't. I read that these decisions happened but have read nothing past that. I'm interested to know why these situations were different from Wisconsin.
Post by rupertpenny on Oct 29, 2020 9:48:33 GMT -5
Nate Silver is on The Ezra Klein Show today talking about the differences in polling between 2016 and 2020. I know he is dead to a lot of people, but it's interesting.
Have we had any discussion about the two Supreme Court decisions that will allow votes to be counted after Election Day in Pennsylvania and North Carolina? I might have missed it.
We haven't. I read that these decisions happened but have read nothing past that. I'm interested to know why these situations were different from Wisconsin.
I was also curious. I had started to do some digging to see if mail in ballots were more common in PA/NC vs WI and that was why? But I didn't get far because life.
Have we had any discussion about the two Supreme Court decisions that will allow votes to be counted after Election Day in Pennsylvania and North Carolina? I might have missed it.
We haven't. I read that these decisions happened but have read nothing past that. I'm interested to know why these situations were different from Wisconsin.
There was a decision, yesterday I believe, the Supreme Court is allowing those votes to be counted, in both states.
Emails from Sec Pompeo's wife & son, Susan & Nick, to the State Dept are obtained by NBC as the result of a FOIA request last year, show new details such as maintenance requests for the house the Pompeos rent on a military base.
The size of the state isn’t relevant if the metro areas have astronomic turnout (which it seems they might). I’m cautiously optimistic
Exactly. VA is similar. Not nearly as big, but it's overwhelmingly red except for key metro areas. If those people get out and vote it COULD be possible. I'm not holding my breath, but it's possible. View Attachment
Are you saying it's possible for TX to go for Biden or VA? I'm pretty comfortable saying VA will go with Biden
Also, the ruling on these mail in decisions is SO CLOSE to the election that it seems even more messed up. Like if someone thought they had until Friday or even Monday to mail their ballot and it's decided today that they don't. That's obviously voter suppression 101.
We haven't. I read that these decisions happened but have read nothing past that. I'm interested to know why these situations were different from Wisconsin.
I was also curious. I had started to do some digging to see if mail in ballots were more common in PA/NC vs WI and that was why? But I didn't get far because life.
It comes down to the state constitution. Supreme Court seems to be saying that state courts can interpret their state constitutions unless it’s federal election related (which, hooooo boy is that bad). WI’s constitution doesn’t allow for additional time for ballot return (i.e., postmark by Nov 3) but the other two states do (or at least this my interpretation of what’s going on, not an election lawyer or any lawyer at all).
Exactly. VA is similar. Not nearly as big, but it's overwhelmingly red except for key metro areas. If those people get out and vote it COULD be possible. I'm not holding my breath, but it's possible. View Attachment
Are you saying it's possible for TX to go for Biden or VA? I'm pretty comfortable saying VA will go with Biden
Sorry, wasn't clear! I was saying that VA used to be purple but is becoming more and more blue (less of a toss up) because of the metro areas and those people getting out to vote. So if TX were to follow suit and those huge metro areas that show up and the huge increase in voter registration favors dems, that TX could go for Biden.
We haven't. I read that these decisions happened but have read nothing past that. I'm interested to know why these situations were different from Wisconsin.
There was a decision, yesterday I believe, the Supreme Court is allowing those votes to be counted, in both states.
Yes, that's what I had read, but haven't read why the decision went that way when the Wisconsin decision went the other way.
The head of Duval County FL’s vote-counting board has donated to Trump 12 times and has six Trump signs up at his home, despite rules barring him from doing so.
Senior county Judge Brent Shore, who has refused to change rules barring the public from photographing or videotaping vote-counting meetings, first donated $20 in 2016 to Donald Trump’s initial campaign for president. He has donated 11 more times since then to Trump for a total of $170, as well as donating $178 in the last two years to the Republican National Committee, the National Republican Congressional Committee and the National Republican Senatorial Committee.
Outside his home, his yard holds a Trump sign and two signs for Republican U.S. Rep. John Rutherford. A Trump-Pence banner hangs from his front window, and four stickers cover the window panels by his front door. “Americans for the Trump Agenda,” reads one. “Keep the heat on Congress.”
...
While Shore didn’t return requests for comment, his wife, Kathryn Petway Shore, answered the door Wednesday evening at their Atlantic Beach home and demanded to know how a reporter knew her husband had donated to Trump.
She then said the Federal Elections Commission’s donor database must be wrong because her husband hadn’t donated to Trump.
“I’m not convinced just because somebody put it on a list that my husband did it,” she said. The donations said they came from a Brent Douglas Shore who listed their home address and said his occupation was “judge,” “judicial” and “retired” and listed the “state of Florida” as his employer.
She said the six signs and stickers supporting Trump’s campaign and the two signs for Rutherford belonged to her and not to her husband.
“My husband would never do anything unethical or improper,” she said. “I am not a judge, and those signs are mine. And yes, that’s my half of the front yard.”
She said the sign on the other half of the yard was also hers. Yet a judicial ethics opinion explicitly says spouses cannot post political signs in the yard in front of homes where judges live.
If you want some good data analysis, Dave Wasserman is the guy to follow. I don’t particularly care for his personality but he does a good job of breaking things down and communicating benchmarks. He also seems to have access to the district-level polling. He’s talking about TX this morning - turnout is highest in the suburban districts right now, particularly around Austin.
I’ve heard that TX is bluer than people think, its problem has been turnout because everyone has assumed their vote doesn’t matter. The talk of TX being a swing state has dramatically accelerated turnout.