It could still change overnight. Pennsylvania swung Blue overnight last time because the absentee ballots leaned Blue. Am I recalling that correctly?
But I’m bracing for the worst when I wake up tomorrow. And I’ll be keeping Rebecca Solnit’s Hope in the Dark on my bedside table like a Bible.
It’s clear that, whether Harris wins or loses, our country is not on a good path. But we owe it to our kids, if we have them, and the younger generations in general, to not give up. We can and must keep fighting.
Don’t forget oligarchy….the rich bought most of these victories. Can you imagine an alternate universe in which corporations weren’t given unlimited free speech via dark money???
Post by dulcemariamar on Nov 6, 2024 1:04:12 GMT -5
Waking up now in Europe and I can’t believe it. I thought at least the race would be close but I didn’t expect this.
I am so fucking tired about the economy excuse. Do Americans think only they have had economic hardships in the last 4 years? The only ones with huge inflation? So ridiculous.
West coast going to bed. Definitely not the landslide I wanted, but I've been watching Michigan and Pennsylvania and I'm not counting them out yet. I will happily live through several more days if we get a repeat of 2020 with good news on Saturday.
It’s only 10:30pm here and I don’t have anything better to do than be stressed so here’s some election math. I think we’ll get PA.
Most counties are 95-99% reported or lean Harris (assume those balance each other out). The majority of the votes left are around Philadelphia. I’m using a couple different sources for the county vs. overall votes and %s so the math doesn’t quite match, but if 🍊 is ahead by 224k votes now, there 9% left to count primarily in Philly, using the ratios in Philly so far, she’d get 484k and he’d get 128k (+224k lead). That’s a win by 132k votes. That’s not including surrounding Montgomery and Delaware counties which are mostly counted but could be significant. GA was won by 11k last time 😬
It’s only 10:30pm here and I don’t have anything better to do than be stressed so here’s some election math. I think we’ll get PA.
Most counties are 95-99% reported or lean Harris (assume those balance each other out). The majority of the votes left are around Philadelphia. I’m using a couple different sources for the county vs. overall votes and %s so the math doesn’t quite match, but if 🍊 is ahead by 224k votes now, there 9% left to count primarily in Philly, using the ratios in Philly so far, she’d get 484k and he’d get 128k (+224k lead). That’s a win by 132k votes. That’s not including surrounding Harris and Bucks counties which are mostly counted but could be significant. GA was won by 11k last time 😬
I hope you're right!
I'm going to bed assuming we've lost so when I wake up I'll either feel the same or better. Would be nice to wake up to a surprise but I'm not holding my breath 😢
@ ellipses84, my math was coming out similar. If there are absentee ballots left to count in Pa, those skew Harris as well.
Michigan still has its largest counts left around Detroit. The margin is small enough that big blue counties can shift it.
I’m nervous about AZ too, more than NV, but they also skew the same way, with the majority of the votes in a couple big cities and a lot of rural land. It just concerns me that Gallego is clearly winning in AZ and people are still voting for 🍊.
I accidentally opened fb and saw an 🍊 announcement post that wasn’t true so I reported it as fake news. It’s not someone I’m friends with, but they tagged someone I’m related to by marriage.
Post by starburst604 on Nov 6, 2024 2:08:26 GMT -5
I’m going to need to hide for a bit and stay off social media. I just cannot handle this. I don’t know how not to fall apart in front of DD in the morning.
I’m so confused as to how they’re calling PA with Philly only having 83% of our votes in
Looking at the numbers I'm surprised at the voter turnout in Philadelphia. Allegheny county (Pittsburgh) had more total voters than Philadelphia (at least that is what is being reported currently)