I'm just curious. It seems to be working where I am so far. Only 7 cases in town and about 75+/- in county with reports of it plateauing. Praying its accurate. The other side of state is not fairing so well.
I think it’s too early to tell here. The predictions are for peak April 30th. Our numbers don’t seem to be going up too quickly, but that could have a lot to do with testing, too.
Our numbers look bad for our county. But 2/3 of the cases are all in/related to a nursing home. That’s absolutely devastating, especially as I used to work there. But an outbreak there and larger numbers don’t really reflect the effects of social distancing.
Post by goldengirlz on Apr 12, 2020 18:33:51 GMT -5
The consensus has generally been that California seems to be doing a great job. Cases per capita are well below the U.S. average and hospitals (in this area, at least) aren’t overwhelmed. H even says his hospital saw its coronavirus caseload decrease week over week. We were the first metro area (and I believe even the first state) to enact shelter in place, and that early start seems to have been really crucial. I’ve been working from home for a good five weeks already, since the first week of March.
ETA: We aren’t testing as many people per capita as other states but it’s hard to say whether that’s a failure of testing or fewer people coming in with symptoms.
Post by InBetweenDays on Apr 12, 2020 18:33:54 GMT -5
It seems to be working here (Seattle). We're still seeing quite a few new cases every day, but the growth rate of new cases and deaths has definitely slowed down.
It seems to be working here (Seattle). We're still seeing quite a few new cases every day, but the growth rate of new cases and deaths has definitely slowed down.
I agree with this - am in the greater Seattle area.
I don't think so. Every day it seems there are new rules to try to keep people away from each other. I haven't seen a lot of it when I drive anywhere (which isn't often) and I am having issues running anywhere because of people not social distancing. It could work here, if people weren't idiots and followed the guidelines put in place to keep us safe and flatten the curve.
Post by imojoebunny on Apr 12, 2020 18:45:49 GMT -5
I am in Atlanta, a small town, very close to the city. We shut down early, much earlier than the state, and most people around here are taking it seriously. A man from our community died last night, who is my age, and has 4 kids. I know that the hospitals are begging for gear. I know that an ER doc at the largest hospital around wore the same mask for a week. The CDC is muted by the white house, on this, I am 100% sure. Testing was delayed here by weeks for most people, so our numbers are a lot lower than the reality at the hospitals. Testing is ramping up, but only beginning last week, and people still need an doctor's order, though that is changing, and a time to get one. Covid patience here are having to go online at midnight to get a space in the drive through lines.
Seems new today but Maryland is now tracking cases by zip code. Link for locals/anyone interested: coronavirus.maryland.gov/
According to this, there are no cases in my zipcode. Which I find hard to believe, but I guess that at least means cases are low here?
In Baltimore it appears to really vary by neighborhood. Some areas have not done as well with social distancing (largely for good reasons - use of public transit, lower paying jobs that require them to work, inability to stock up on food, etc) but it seems to be working in places where people have the ability to stay home so it seems worth it so far.
Post by tripleshot on Apr 12, 2020 18:53:22 GMT -5
I’m in Ohio and it seems to be working well here. My county has had 38 hospitalizations, 11 deaths, and 155 cases total. But there are a bunch of whiners and deniers on the town FB page. I haven’t left my house since 3/12, so I’m not sure what’s actually happening.
Anything is better than nothing. But it’s too early to tell here. We are up to 15,000 cases and we could very well plunge off the cliff like NY or be on the downside the curve. We are doing OK so far.
Post by RoxMonster on Apr 12, 2020 19:07:43 GMT -5
I think it is. There is a website that is getting posted on FB where it "grades" each county in our state according to cell phone data. It's obviously not fool-proof but my county has been receiving an "A" or "B" each week. My actual county doesn't have too many recorded positives (though they are obviously not testing everyone, just the sickest). I think they have predicted IL's peak to be around mid-April. We'll see.
I think it is. There is a website that is getting posted on FB where it "grades" each county in our state according to cell phone data. It's obviously not fool-proof but my county has been receiving an "A" or "B" each week. My actual county doesn't have too many recorded positives (though they are obviously not testing everyone, just the sickest). I think they have predicted IL's peak to be around mid-April. We'll see.
I would love to check this out if you can find a link to it!
I think it is. There is a website that is getting posted on FB where it "grades" each county in our state according to cell phone data. It's obviously not fool-proof but my county has been receiving an "A" or "B" each week. My actual county doesn't have too many recorded positives (though they are obviously not testing everyone, just the sickest). I think they have predicted IL's peak to be around mid-April. We'll see.
I would love to check this out if you can find a link to it!
This is the one our local news linked. It does look like it has a "score" for every state.
Post by wanderingback on Apr 12, 2020 19:35:34 GMT -5
At this point I would certainly hope it's helping because if not then we're really screwed, moreso than we already are. Subway ridership is apparently down by 94%. I've tried to stay off the news because it's just not helping me right now, but I've heard they're saying that hospital admissions are stable/technically down. However, anecdotally it seems a lot more people are dying at home now.
So many black and brown people are dying, it's really upsetting.
It seems in our clinic we're still seeing a fair amount of people that are likely positive, but haven't had to send very many to the hospital this past week. I know our resident inpatient service is still maxed out and we've pulled everyone to work, don't think there are plans for that to slow down over the next week or 2, but I'll get a more specific update tomorrow though from the inpatient team.
By Plain, do you mean Amish or something else? Just do not know the term.
Amish, Mennonite and Quaker.
Thank you. My kid went to Quaker school for years, I do not see anyone she knows not completely social distancing, unless they are in the healthcare field or non-profits serving the community in necessary activities (food banks, emergency legal services, politics), but I can see where it would be a bigger issue for Amish and some Mennonite communities.
The consensus has generally been that California seems to be doing a great job. Cases per capita are well below the U.S. average and hospitals (in this area, at least) aren’t overwhelmed. H even says his hospital saw its coronavirus caseload decrease week over week. We were the first metro area (and I believe even the first state) to enact shelter in place, and that early start seems to have been really crucial. I’ve been working from home for a good five weeks already, since the first week of March.
ETA: We aren’t testing as many people per capita as other states but it’s hard to say whether that’s a failure of testing or fewer people coming in with symptoms.
All of this. We're in the CA bay area. Feeling very optimistic of the downward trend, at least in my county (santa clara county). goldengirlz, I'm assuming you're in the bay too; let me know if I'm totally wrong.
The consensus has generally been that California seems to be doing a great job. Cases per capita are well below the U.S. average and hospitals (in this area, at least) aren’t overwhelmed. H even says his hospital saw its coronavirus caseload decrease week over week. We were the first metro area (and I believe even the first state) to enact shelter in place, and that early start seems to have been really crucial. I’ve been working from home for a good five weeks already, since the first week of March.
ETA: We aren’t testing as many people per capita as other states but it’s hard to say whether that’s a failure of testing or fewer people coming in with symptoms.
All of this. We're in the CA bay area. Feeling very optimistic of the downward trend, at least in my county (santa clara county). goldengirlz, I'm assuming you're in the bay too; let me know if I'm totally wrong.
Post by aprilsails on Apr 12, 2020 20:00:37 GMT -5
Based on current numbers we have flattened at a pretty low rate in my metro area. Hospitals are not at capacity yet and they are working on increasing capacity in case more cases arise.
My Mom is a virologist at the local hospital and they are currently able to process all tests daily at about 509 per day. That’s based on a fairly tight testing criteria where only symptomatic patients and those who have had known contact or are in healthcare are being tested. There are plans to ramp up and start doing contact tracing testing in the coming week or two. They have gone from 4-7 staff fully trained on the tests and are preparing to start 24 hour shifts.
From what I can see in my neighbourhood social distancing is generally happening. I’ll admit my Mom and my Dad stopped by to say hello today. We had a chat in the front lawn/porch and maintained distance. I’ve seen other neighbours doing the same. I haven’t gone out other than for walks for 12 days now. Last trip out was for groceries. We can last until Thursday this week but kitty litter is about to become an emergency since we’ve had two online orders cancelled.
Post by Leeham Rimes on Apr 12, 2020 20:02:41 GMT -5
Our county mayor says it is but in *my* area, people are not listening. At all. Play dates, mom groups, exercise classes, all still happening at the park across from our house. It’s why we can’t do anything, it’s so crowded it’s literally impossible to be 6 feet away from other people.
I need ham like water Like breath, like rain I need ham like mercy From Heaven's gate Sometimes ham salad or casserole or ham that’s free range, all natural I need ham
Post by starryfish on Apr 12, 2020 20:10:55 GMT -5
My county has 330 cases but 1/3 of them are from one nursing home. But people in my area are still doing play dates, Easter family get together, etc. it’s annoying
Yes. Some would argue it’s working too well where I am.
I answered, but I’m changing my mind. Actually, our strategy is working extremely well in general, but social distancing is actually the smallest part of our strategy. We have a very intensive testing and contact tracing program as well as wearing masks and that seems to be pushing the number of daily new cases so low that it can’t be maintained in the long term.
I need ham like water Like breath, like rain I need ham like mercy From Heaven's gate Sometimes ham salad or casserole or ham that’s free range, all natural I need ham