Post by Velar Fricative on Sept 26, 2022 11:37:11 GMT -5
I hope Ian surprises us all and has less impact on land than is predicted.
Keeping everyone in its path in my thoughts. As we learned from Ida last year, even though of us not in FL may be impacted - looks like GA and the Carolinas might see some impacts too and of course the rain and wind could make its way up much further.
My ILs are in the Ft Myers area. As of last night, they said “we are built here good up to a Cat 2. I guess we will decide later once we see the track getting closer.” Then they rattled of that they had 5 gallons of water and a generator, and “may” fill a bathtub.
I’m hoping that they left this morning. On the other hand, I am *really* glad we are no their evacuation plan anymore. A couple years ago, we were and they came for a week with 12 hours notice. And, while I’m glad they were safe… they insisted they needed our bed and couldn’t sleep in our guest room because we ran the dishwasher at night and they could hear it through the ceiling. So, yeah…
Post by breezy8407 on Sept 26, 2022 11:54:00 GMT -5
I'm working on rescheduling work travel to FL for next week. I was supposed to arrive Wednesday. I've been traveling there for work for the past 3 years (minus some months because of the pandemic in 2020), and this is the first time I've had to consider tropical weather. Earlier today I read this may be the first major storm since 2018.
I hope it doesn't turn out to be bad. Thinking of everyone in its path.
I’m hoping that they left this morning. On the other hand, I am *really* glad we are no their evacuation plan anymore. A couple years ago, we were and they came for a week with 12 hours notice. And, while I’m glad they were safe… they insisted they needed our bed and couldn’t sleep in our guest room because we ran the dishwasher at night and they could hear it through the ceiling. So, yeah…
Post by Bad Dingo on Sept 26, 2022 12:00:09 GMT -5
My father/stepmother live in Pasco County. They were visiting family in Nova Scotia and got hit with Fiona. They are scheduled to fly back home but hopefully they'll just stay put.
My ILs are in the Ft Myers area. As of last night, they said “we are built here good up to a Cat 2. I guess we will decide later once we see the track getting closer.” Then they rattled of that they had 5 gallons of water and a generator, and “may” fill a bathtub.
I’m hoping that they left this morning. On the other hand, I am *really* glad we are no their evacuation plan anymore. A couple years ago, we were and they came for a week with 12 hours notice. And, while I’m glad they were safe… they insisted they needed our bed and couldn’t sleep in our guest room because we ran the dishwasher at night and they could hear it through the ceiling. So, yeah…
To be fair, a cat 2 isn't usually too bad (in FL where architecture and infrastructure is designed for it). Cat 3 can start getting dicey.
This is our first season in 10+ years out of hurricane country. My thoughts are with everyone there prepping to either evacuate or stick it out. Either one is a ton of work and mental exhaustion.
My ILs are in the Ft Myers area. As of last night, they said “we are built here good up to a Cat 2. I guess we will decide later once we see the track getting closer.” Then they rattled of that they had 5 gallons of water and a generator, and “may” fill a bathtub.
I’m hoping that they left this morning. On the other hand, I am *really* glad we are no their evacuation plan anymore. A couple years ago, we were and they came for a week with 12 hours notice. And, while I’m glad they were safe… they insisted they needed our bed and couldn’t sleep in our guest room because we ran the dishwasher at night and they could hear it through the ceiling. So, yeah…
To be fair, a cat 2 isn't usually too bad (in FL where architecture and infrastructure is designed for it). Cat 3 can start getting dicey.
This is our first season in 10+ years out of hurricane country. My thoughts are with everyone there prepping to either evacuate or stick it out. Either one is a ton of work and mental exhaustion.
Totally agree. But… it’s not gonna be a cat 2. And they are in the 4-7 ft storm surge. Plus, they are not long-term Floridians. They’ve only been there 4 years. The short notice one was when they were renting before their house was finished.
Post by pumpkincat on Sept 26, 2022 12:15:13 GMT -5
My IL's are in Bellaire and not in an evacuation zone (they recently moved and no longer have risk of flooding - although I'm sure their boat might be an issue). BFF is in St.Pete and currently not under evacuation orders. She's a doc at a hospital and waiting to see who is getting called in to hunker down there for a few days. U
To be fair, a cat 2 isn't usually too bad (in FL where architecture and infrastructure is designed for it). Cat 3 can start getting dicey.
This is our first season in 10+ years out of hurricane country. My thoughts are with everyone there prepping to either evacuate or stick it out. Either one is a ton of work and mental exhaustion.
Totally agree. But… it’s not gonna be a cat 2. And they are in the 4-7 ft storm surge. Plus, they are not long-term Floridians. They’ve only been there 4 years. The short notice one was when they were renting before their house was finished.
Yeah, that's nerve-wracking. If it's any comfort, it looks like landfall won't be much more than a cat 2 and north of FM (we used to live in Naples). That's not to minimize the risk - after Irma, I know how quickly things shift. And a Cat 2 is scary if you haven't been through it, absolutely! I hope they (and everyone else) remains safe and comfortable.
Totally agree. But… it’s not gonna be a cat 2. And they are in the 4-7 ft storm surge. Plus, they are not long-term Floridians. They’ve only been there 4 years. The short notice one was when they were renting before their house was finished.
Yeah, that's nerve-wracking. If it's any comfort, it looks like landfall won't be much more than a cat 2 and north of FM (we used to live in Naples). That's not to minimize the risk - after Irma, I know how quickly things shift. And a Cat 2 is scary if you haven't been through it, absolutely! I hope they (and everyone else) remains safe and comfortable.
Irma! I think that was the one they came up here (to MD) for. I was just talking to a friend who said her aunt won’t go, but never does. And I was thinking I’d be less worried about someone who has been through enough to “never leave,” that people in their 70s who have only lived there 4 years.
My company's headquartered in Tampa, our office is closed for the week and meetings (even purely online ones) are being canceled so people can prepare. It's scary.
I am honestly shocked that it is almost October and this is the first hurricane to threaten the continental US. I hope it's the last, too. I always hate hurricane season so much!
I hope all of our Florida posters stay safe. I have family in Florida but they are further inland and should hopefully be okay.
I feel like this storm is on a similar path (at least at the moment) to Hurricane Charley. We lived in an evac zone in Tampa when it was projected to hit Tampa and the news simulations of the flooding the city could face were truly shocking. The storm surge would have just completely overtaken most of downtown, South Tampa, etc. We evacuated then. Charley turned and made a direct landfall more around Naples, if I'm remembering correctly. I also feel like it was projected to be a 2 until like the day before it hit, it was suddenly a 4.
I've got a ton of family along the Gulf coast and in Central Florida... for the most part they're still watching and preparing.
"Hello babies. Welcome to Earth. It's hot in the summer and cold in the winter. It's round and wet and crowded. On the outside, babies, you've got a hundred years here. There's only one rule that I know of, babies-"God damn it, you've got to be kind.”
Hoping everyone in the area stays safe! It’s not so much the size or strength of the storm. It’s the surge that’s kind of making all the local meteorologists nervous.
Hoping everyone in the area stays safe! It’s not so much the size or strength of the storm. It’s the surge that’s kind of making all the local meteorologists nervous.
I believe there are evacuations now for zone A?
Again, stay safe everyone!
For Pinellas mandatory for a-c starting tomorrow 7am.
Hi. I’m In Pinellas. In a non evac zone and non flood zone and not in a storm surge zone. So we will be staying likely. We will board up (we have shutters) and stay put as of now. But plans can change lol.
Ugh. I saw a model forecast track that had a couple ticks on the model with it sitting and spinning on Tampa. Reminded me of Harvey. 😬 My heart is with you all this week.
And, I’m tamping down my angst on the ILs. H can’t be bothered to even send a text to check in with them. So, I shall take the lead there.
Post by pixy0stix on Sept 26, 2022 14:21:07 GMT -5
The news is all over the place with predictions from Cat 2 to Cat 4 depending on which news anchor is speaking. They're all in consensus that the storm surge is going to be bad.
Post by Velar Fricative on Sept 26, 2022 14:24:39 GMT -5
I checked the wiki on Charley and apparently it was expected to hit Tampa directly until two HOURS before it made landfall when it suddenly tracked to hit further south in FL. And we are still days away from this hitting mainland FL, so anything can happen and things can change.
We were fortunate that it missed us. But we have still have 3 days of heavy rain and it is still raining today. So a fair amount of flooding and road damage. most schools shut today - fortuantely my kdis was open as I had to come into to work. And my partner is in Cayman right now.
It wasnt as bad as expected for Cayman as it moved west. which is a relief as they are very flat with nowhere to evacuate to.
I am worried for Cuba. It is heading right there. While they have good systems for evacuating people etc, they cannt financially afford the hit.
I feel like this storm is on a similar path (at least at the moment) to Hurricane Charley. We lived in an evac zone in Tampa when it was projected to hit Tampa and the news simulations of the flooding the city could face were truly shocking. The storm surge would have just completely overtaken most of downtown, South Tampa, etc. We evacuated then. Charley turned and made a direct landfall more around Naples, if I'm remembering correctly. I also feel like it was projected to be a 2 until like the day before it hit, it was suddenly a 4.
I've got a ton of family along the Gulf coast and in Central Florida... for the most part they're still watching and preparing.
This is the thing. Sometimes things go bad in a hurry. My parents spent winters in Englewood, near Punta Gorda/Port Charlotte, just north of Ft Myers, got hit so bad. Even months later, piles of Charley debris was everywhere. We went through a ton of hurricanes in Texas from Rita to Harvey, and you just couldn’t count on the predictions. Sending good vibes for safety and minimal damage to everyone in the path.