November Politics - Election Week

[Jalapeñomel]

Nov 8, 2022 13:25:58 GMT -5 heat40 said:

It’s not looking good in Florida, specifically Miami Dade. We have been a solid blue county for as long as I can remember. I’ve noticed a shift and know it was inevitable but this soon, and under these circumstances, hurts.

It’s seems a bit early to speculate, no?

[fernweh]

Nov 8, 2022 11:40:38 GMT -5 noodleoo said:

Nov 8, 2022 8:31:28 GMT -5 shauni27 said:

anecdote: here in NH in a pretty liberal district/ward everyone votes day of. I went this am right when they opened at 7 and we waited 30 minutes to vote! From my experience voting in rural New England for most of my life, everyone votes day of and it is very social. A chance to see your community members and friends, gather, have a coffee, etc. Very "West Wing Dixville Notch" feel.

I always used to vote in person on election day until Covid. Then I figured out how to sign up for a ballot to be mailed to me and I set it up like that going forward. It is *so* much nicer to vote from home. I'm in MA and we're pretty reliably blue, so the races don't matter too much but we have several ballot questions this year. I was able to read them, research them on my phone, talk to my H and decide how we wanted to vote over lunch. I kind of miss voting in person (i want my "I voted" sticker LOL) but I'll probably vote by mail from now on.

@@@

I used to like taking my kids to vote in person and explaining to them what it means.  Maybe I'll do that in 2024 (although I'd still early vote just to be safe).  

I used to love voting in person. The 2020 presidential and this election I have signed up for absentee ballots though. I didn’t want to take the risk that I would come down with covid and have to quarantine and miss Election Day.

[Deleted]

Nov 8, 2022 13:25:58 GMT -5 heat40 said:

It’s not looking good in Florida, specifically Miami Dade. We have been a solid blue county for as long as I can remember. I’ve noticed a shift and know it was inevitable but this soon, and under these circumstances, hurts.

He's hardly someone that I'd trust to be unbiased when reporting information like this.

[heat40]

Nov 8, 2022 14:10:42 GMT -5 @sameoldstory said:

Nov 8, 2022 13:25:58 GMT -5 heat40 said:

It’s not looking good in Florida, specifically Miami Dade. We have been a solid blue county for as long as I can remember. I’ve noticed a shift and know it was inevitable but this soon, and under these circumstances, hurts.

He's hardly someone that I'd trust to be unbiased when reporting information like this.

Hmm Dave Wasserman, who I think is pretty legit commented on it, and agreed this isn’t good for Dems in Miami. Obviously, I hope it’s wrong and we squeak by with a win. But I don’t know.

[dancingirl21]

Nov 8, 2022 13:37:53 GMT -5 mrshandy said:

Nov 8, 2022 9:36:27 GMT -5 dancingirl21 said:

I sent our mail-in ballots last Thursday via USPS and I haven’t received confirmation that our county has them yet. Bah. I really wanted them there by today to be counted. Hopefully they still get there today.

When I voted last year mail-in for the VA governor race, I didn't receive confirmation until like 8 days after the election that my ballot had been received. It also took weeks for my ballot to arrive. I was in New Jersey for a month for work so I couldn't easily vote in person if it had never come. I was living in a shitty long-term stay hotel and I was so worried they had lost it or it had gone back return to sender. It was an incredibly, stressful frustrating process overall. 

I received notification just after posting this that my husband’s has been received for counting. Nothing about mine. They were dropped in the same box at the same time. This is too stressful. Next time I have to mail them far earlier, or drive to the actual ballot box.

[Pom]

Nov 8, 2022 12:33:40 GMT -5 DotAndBuzz said:

@@@@@@@@

Campaign sign story: Prop 3 in Michigan is our "abortion rights" issue. Has huge support, but there have been some anti signs popping up around my super liberal pocket of Michigan. So imagine my surprise when, on the cesspool of NextDoor a post pops up saying "to whoever keeps spray painting the anti prop 3 signs at XYZ location, can you let me know where the sign up genius is for this? I want to make sure I can help with the cause. Also, my garage is unlocked if you need spray paint."

Is it illegal to deface those signs? Probably. But it also gave me a laugh.

Also re: that ballot issue - friends IL's live in Midland. SUPER TRUMPY. Anti vax (her mom legit lost her job because she refused to get the vax). Friend is pretty sure they are voting FOR the issue. @@@@@@@@@ and loss mention follows: 2 of their other daughters had late term pregnancy losses last year. It was horrible and traumatic for those women (who are also ultra conservative "pro-lifers"). And it was brought to their attention that the medical term for what happened is a late term abortion. They had no idea THAT is what that meant. And my friend was like....you could hear the record scratch when ILs were telling them they needed to protect women's health after having this personal and tragic experience.

So I have high hopes at least for that piece of our election in our state.

Will also be very interesting to see how our state legislature shakes out after our first redistricting elections since the non-partisan committee redrew district lines.

I am pretty far up north and there were just tons of "no on prop 3" and (still- trump won) other trash GOP signs. I have been pretty disheartened but I knew it was full red up here, when we moved. We were out on Sunday for a little road trip and I saw A HUGE increase in the amount of blue signs. Especially along 23 between Mackinaw City and Rogers City which has always been full of trumpcrap and I felt so much better.  Still scared shitless tho. I am curious about the redistricting impact too.  

[pixy0stix]

I had the news on briefly during lunch, and they were interviewing people leaving the polls. I had to turn it off. I know people vote the way they do for a variety of reasons, but as a society we're dumb. On both sides. Yes, I just both sided this issue.

[pixy0stix]

Nov 8, 2022 14:24:34 GMT -5 dancingirl21 said:

Nov 8, 2022 13:37:53 GMT -5 mrshandy said:

When I voted last year mail-in for the VA governor race, I didn't receive confirmation until like 8 days after the election that my ballot had been received. It also took weeks for my ballot to arrive. I was in New Jersey for a month for work so I couldn't easily vote in person if it had never come. I was living in a shitty long-term stay hotel and I was so worried they had lost it or it had gone back return to sender. It was an incredibly, stressful frustrating process overall. 

I received notification just after posting this that my husband’s has been received for counting. Nothing about mine. They were dropped in the same box at the same time. This is too stressful. Next time I have to mail them far earlier, or drive to the actual ballot box.

They were telling everyone here to have them mailed by Halloween. I'm really surprised your election officials didn't have some sort of deadline published about how late you could mail them.

[purplinsky]

Nov 8, 2022 14:30:29 GMT -5 pixy0stix said:

Nov 8, 2022 14:24:34 GMT -5 dancingirl21 said:

I received notification just after posting this that my husband’s has been received for counting. Nothing about mine. They were dropped in the same box at the same time. This is too stressful. Next time I have to mail them far earlier, or drive to the actual ballot box.

They were telling everyone here to have them mailed by Halloween. I'm really surprised your election officials didn't have some sort of deadline published about how late you could mail them.

Agreed. Our mail in ballot instructions are pretty explicit and say you need to have your ballot in the mail a minimum of 1 week before election day; the postmark date means nothing here, it's all about when the ballot is received. I'm crossing my fingers for you that your ballot is received on time and counted.

[dancingirl21]

Nov 8, 2022 14:43:53 GMT -5 purplinsky said:

Nov 8, 2022 14:30:29 GMT -5 pixy0stix said:

They were telling everyone here to have them mailed by Halloween. I'm really surprised your election officials didn't have some sort of deadline published about how late you could mail them.

Agreed. Our mail in ballot instructions are pretty explicit and say you need to have your ballot in the mail a minimum of 1 week before election day; the postmark date means nothing here, it's all about when the ballot is received. I'm crossing my fingers for you that your ballot is received on time and counted.

They didn’t say anything about that. Damn. I’ve voted by mail in the past and it has gone seamlessly. My week was a mess last week and I should have prioritized this higher.

[Michelle]

I'm so sick with worry today. Ugh. Godspeed Democrats. Let's hold the Senate and make some change in these deep red states, especially Texas. PLEASE!!

[AdaraMarie]

Voting in Colorado is so easy, I wish it was this way everywhere. Automatic voter registration, same day registration, early voting centers, universal mail in ballots, easy way to vote in person if that is your choice or if your mail in ballot gets messed up.
I filled out my ballot this weekend and went through the drive through drop off at my neighborhood library this morning. There was a lot of (well managed) traffic so I think good turnout and I was in and out in 2 minutes.

ETA: not overly optimistic about the outcome...but at least the process works well

[Michelle]

Nov 8, 2022 14:54:56 GMT -5 AdaraMarie said:

Voting in Colorado is so easy, I wish it was this way everywhere. Automatic voter registration, same day registration, early voting centers, universal mail in ballots, easy way to vote in person if that is your choice or if your mail in ballot gets messed up.
I filled out my ballot this weekend and went through the drive through drop off at my neighborhood library this morning. There was a lot of (well managed) traffic so I think good turnout and I was in and out in 2 minutes.

ETA: not overly optimistic about the outcome...but at least the process works well

and y'all are a purple state, which as a centrist, I love. 

[msmerymac]

I'm in an AirBnb in western PA in a congressional district where the incumbent Republican has a 99% chance of winning, so that's cool. I've still seen quite a few Shapiro and Fetterman signs around though, considering. Also, the TV is weird and we don't get local news channels or MSNBC, so we've been watching a lot of the Great British Baking Show on Netflix, which is probably for the best.

Anyway, here in PA House District 7, where Susan Wild is the incumbent who was elected first in 2018, is probably a bellwether. It's been a toss-up pretty much the whole campaign (her opponent is Lisa Schiller). The district is in the Lehigh Valley, which flipped from Obama to Trump to Biden.

[msmerymac]

Nov 8, 2022 14:26:55 GMT -5 pixy0stix said:

I had the news on briefly during lunch, and they were interviewing people leaving the polls. I had to turn it off. I know people vote the way they do for a variety of reasons, but as a society we're dumb. On both sides. Yes, I just both sided this issue.

I can't remember what I was listening to, but there was a woman in Arizona who said she was voting for Kari Lake because, you know, she has experience on TV and stuff. She thought the downside to Lake was that she believed the election was stolen and was pretty pro-Trump.  This woman decided to vote for Masterson too. But she voted for Biden and Mark Kelly in 2020. Make it make sense. 

[tacokick]

Nov 8, 2022 14:47:16 GMT -5 dancingirl21 said:

Nov 8, 2022 14:43:53 GMT -5 purplinsky said:

Agreed. Our mail in ballot instructions are pretty explicit and say you need to have your ballot in the mail a minimum of 1 week before election day; the postmark date means nothing here, it's all about when the ballot is received. I'm crossing my fingers for you that your ballot is received on time and counted.

They didn’t say anything about that. Damn. I’ve voted by mail in the past and it has gone seamlessly. My week was a mess last week and I should have prioritized this higher.

Like everything, it does depend by state. Our ballots must be postmarked on or before November 8.

[dancingirl21]

Nov 8, 2022 15:25:18 GMT -5 tacokick said:

Nov 8, 2022 14:47:16 GMT -5 dancingirl21 said:

They didn’t say anything about that. Damn. I’ve voted by mail in the past and it has gone seamlessly. My week was a mess last week and I should have prioritized this higher.

Like everything, it does depend by state. Our ballots must be postmarked on or before November 8.

Mine is too. So it will be okay in the end, unless something happened to it in the mail. I just wanted it counted today.

[sillygoosegirl]

Nov 8, 2022 6:57:02 GMT -5 cous0226 said:

I have a dumb question. How come Republicans vote day of and Dems do mail in? Why is this and it seems it has always been like this. Why though?

I think this is primarily because Republicans have done an effective job of limiting voting locations in areas that are majority Democrat, making day-of voting a nightmare for many Democrats. If your day-of voting options are actually good, you're more likely to just vote day-of.

Mail-in is more of a mixed bag, I think. Democrat-leaning states have long been more likely to make mail-in ballots easy to get or even universal (like here in Oregon), although historically a large fraction of mail-in ballots have come from people in the military stationed overseas or at least away from home, and those people have historically been more likely to be Republican (although I'm not sure if that's even still true).

[dutchgirl678]

Nov 8, 2022 14:20:05 GMT -5 heat40 said:

Nov 8, 2022 14:10:42 GMT -5 @sameoldstory said:

He's hardly someone that I'd trust to be unbiased when reporting information like this.

Hmm Dave Wasserman, who I think is pretty legit commented on it, and agreed this isn’t good for Dems in Miami. Obviously, I hope it’s wrong and we squeak by with a win. But I don’t know.

Dave Wasserman has been really negative lately but I hope he will be proven wrong. Anyway when I look at Miami-Dade on TargetEarly.com it seems the majority of the early votes is still leaning D, it looks very different from the graph you are showing.

targetearly.targetsmart.com/g2022?geo=Miami-Dade&geo_type=counties&state=FL&view_type=state

[cous0226]

Morning Joe was saying this morning Desantis could win by 20
Points. I mean how is that possible? We’re so fucked.

[imimahoney]

Nevada looks like a fucking disaster 😭 Repubs might sweep the entire election there.

I am feeling hopeful with the videos out of Michigan and Texas of college voters.

[Jalapeñomel]

Nov 8, 2022 16:20:53 GMT -5 cous0226 said:

Morning Joe was saying this morning Desantis could win by 20
Points. I mean how is that possible? We’re so fucked.

I think most of us realize DeSantis will win, but 20 points is shocking.

[TR]

I feel oddly optimistic about this election, but I don't have any evidence to support that attitude. Maybe it's just hard to imagine how awful it will be if things go badly. But I also won't be paying attention to it today/tonight because of the whole mail-in ballot piece. So we'll see.

[eddy]

I plan to ignore everything tonight until things start to look solid. There is so much whiplash between positive and negative takes. I just can't trust any of them so I am just going to ignore. I don't want to put myself through the abuse. Well I will probably check twitter but I am absolutely not watching cable news tonight. My blood pressure can't take it.

[seeyalater52]

Nov 8, 2022 16:35:43 GMT -5 imimahoney said:

Nevada looks like a fucking disaster 😭 Repubs might sweep the entire election there.

I am feeling hopeful with the videos out of Michigan and Texas of college voters.

Nevada is just heartbreaking. I remember when Dems swept in 2018 and it was incredible.

[shortstax]

Genuine question--I'm still getting candidate texts asking for donations. Polls close in less than 2 hours.

What could they do with my additional $10 at this point?

[seeyalater52]

Nov 8, 2022 17:43:28 GMT -5 shortstax said:

Genuine question--I'm still getting candidate texts asking for donations. Polls close in less than 2 hours.

What could they do with my additional $10 at this point?

Pay their campaign debts so the candidate doesn’t end up on the hook with personal funds. Not the marker of an amazingly run campaign of course, but sometimes in the chaos of the election projected fundraising isn’t as strong in the end as it was when purchasing and contracting decisions were made.

In close elections those funds can also go to recounts.

[shortstax]

Nov 8, 2022 17:46:37 GMT -5 seeyalater52 said:

Nov 8, 2022 17:43:28 GMT -5 shortstax said:

Genuine question--I'm still getting candidate texts asking for donations. Polls close in less than 2 hours.

What could they do with my additional $10 at this point?

Pay their campaign debts so the candidate doesn’t end up on the hook with personal funds. Not the marker of an amazingly run campaign of course, but sometimes in the chaos of the election projected fundraising isn’t as strong in the end as it was when purchasing and contracting decisions were made.

In close elections those funds can also go to recounts.

Ooh, this is fascinating. I didn't realize they'd personally be on the hook. I assumed the party would be responsible, but I had no idea why I thought this. 

[msmerymac]

Nov 8, 2022 16:35:43 GMT -5 imimahoney said:

Nevada looks like a fucking disaster 😭 Repubs might sweep the entire election there.

I am feeling hopeful with the videos out of Michigan and Texas of college voters.

AZ and GA too. I mean, I feel positive about Mark Kelly, but that's about it.

[imimahoney]

Nov 8, 2022 17:54:10 GMT -5 msmerymac said:

Nov 8, 2022 16:35:43 GMT -5 imimahoney said:

Nevada looks like a fucking disaster 😭 Repubs might sweep the entire election there.

I am feeling hopeful with the videos out of Michigan and Texas of college voters.

AZ and GA too. I mean, I feel positive about Mark Kelly, but that's about it.

I haven't seen any from GA. I was hoping he would pull off a win. Damn